Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 11/09, 18:00
Prediction: KaPa vs PK-35
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
KaPa1.05
PK-351.51
1X2
KaPa
Draw
PK-35
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
KaPa
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
PK-35
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KaPa
1–3–2
PK-35
(6 last)
- PK-353-1KaPa
- KaPa0-0PK-35
- KaPa1-0PK-35
- PK-351-1KaPa
- KaPa1-1PK-35
- PK-354-0KaPa
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PK-35 (rating 1429 vs 1554).
- H2H favours PK-35: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KaPa | PK-35 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.4 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KaPa 1–3–2 PK-35
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/26 Finland Ykkosliiga | PK-35 | 3-1 HT 2-0 | KaPa |
| 17/05/26 Finland Ykkosliiga | KaPa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | PK-35 |
| 28/02/26 Finland Ykkoscup | KaPa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | PK-35 |
| 12/09/25 Finland Ykkosliiga | PK-35 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | KaPa |
| 09/07/25 Finland Ykkosliiga | KaPa | 1-1 HT 1-0 | PK-35 |
| 18/05/25 Finland Ykkosliiga | PK-35 | 4-0 HT 2-0 | KaPa |
Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTP | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 21 | 51 |
| 2 | PK-35 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | FC Haka | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | Jippo | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 37 |
| 5 | JaPS | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 32 |
| 6 | Ekenäs IF | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 27 |
| 7 | MP | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 33 | 24 |
| 8 | Klubi-04 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 19 |
| 9 | KaPa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 35 | 17 |
| 10 | SJK II | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 12 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KaPa | PK-35 |
|---|---|---|
| JaPS | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Jippo | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| KTP | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Ekenäs IF | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| MP | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| FC Haka | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Klubi-04 | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| SJK II | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 6 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: PK-35 (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KaPa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 20/08 | Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | KTP Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | MP Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/07 | Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 17/07 | SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/07 | PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
PK-35
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | MP Finland Ykkosliiga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 21/08 | JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | KTP Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/07 | KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KaPa vs PK-35?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PK-35 win (47%). Probabilities: KaPa 25%, draw 28%, PK-35 47%.
How many goals are expected in KaPa vs PK-35?
The model expects 2.56 goals (KaPa 1.05 · PK-35 1.51), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in KaPa vs PK-35?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.