Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 11/09, 17:30

Prediction: KTP vs JaPS

Team pages: KTP · JaPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

KTP2.02

JaPS0.73

1X2

67% 22% 12%

KTP Draw JaPS

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

KTP 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWLDWWWWWW

JaPS 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLWLLD

Head-to-head

KTP 4–1–1 JaPS (6 last)

KTP4-1JaPS
JaPS0-1KTP
KTP3-0JaPS
KTP1-2JaPS
JaPS0-0KTP
KTP2-0JaPS

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KTP (rating 1605 vs 1467).
H2H favours KTP: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KTP	JaPS
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	0.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.3	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:42

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.37 → 1.37	Pinn 1.37
X	5.01 → 5.01	Pinn 5.01
2	6.86 → 6.86	Pinn 6.86

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:15 +27’	1.37	5.01	6.86

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KTP 4–1–1 JaPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/07/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	KTP	4-1 HT 0-1	JaPS
16/05/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	JaPS	0-1 HT 0-0	KTP
09/02/26 Finland Ykkoscup	KTP	3-0 HT 2-0	JaPS
13/09/24 Finland Ykkosliiga	KTP	1-2 HT 1-1	JaPS
05/07/24 Finland Ykkosliiga	JaPS	0-0 HT 0-0	KTP
03/05/24 Finland Ykkosliiga	KTP	2-0 HT 0-0	JaPS

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KTP	22	16	3	3	38	21	51
2	PK-35	22	13	6	3	37	14	45
3	FC Haka	21	12	4	5	41	22	40
4	Jippo	22	10	7	5	29	19	37
5	JaPS	22	10	2	10	21	31	32
6	Ekenäs IF	22	8	3	11	26	33	27
7	MP	21	6	3	12	22	33	21
8	Klubi-04	21	4	7	10	25	29	19
9	KaPa	21	4	5	12	21	35	17
10	SJK II	22	2	6	14	13	36	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KTP	JaPS
Jippo	2-0 W	0-1 L
FC Haka	2-1 W	1-2 L
Ekenäs IF	1-0 W	1-0 W
KaPa	2-1 W	0-0 D
Klubi-04	1-0 W	2-0 W
SJK II	2-1 W	1-0 W
MP	3-3 D	1-0 W
PK-35	0-1 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: KTP (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KTP

DWLDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
28/08	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
22/08	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
15/08	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
09/08	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
31/07	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
25/07	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	1-2	3-3	12	2	D
18/07	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-1	10	7	L
10/07	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	4-1	7	3	W
03/07	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	2-2	3-3	9	4	D

JaPS

LWLWWLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
21/08	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	0-3	6	2	L
14/08	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
07/08	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	1-0	6	1	W
30/07	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
25/07	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
18/07	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
10/07	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	1-4	6	3	L
03/07	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
28/06	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	1-1	1-3	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KTP vs JaPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KTP win (67%). Probabilities: KTP 67%, draw 22%, JaPS 12%.

How many goals are expected in KTP vs JaPS?

The model expects 2.75 goals (KTP 2.02 · JaPS 0.73), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KTP vs JaPS?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.