Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: MP vs SJK II

Team pages: MP · SJK II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

MP1.55

SJK II1.2

1X2

44% 27% 28%

MP Draw SJK II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

MP 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLDWLLLL

SJK II 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDDDLLWLL

Head-to-head

MP 0–3–3 SJK II (6 last)

SJK II1-1MP
SJK II1-0MP
SJK II2-2MP
MP1-2SJK II
SJK II0-0MP
MP1-4SJK II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SJK II: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MP	SJK II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.1	0.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.3	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4	2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.86

Under 2.751.89

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.83
X	3.56 → 3.56	Pinn 3.56
2	3.95 → 3.95	Pinn 3.95

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8%

Time*	1	X	2
17:42 +82’	1.83	3.56	3.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MP 0–3–3 SJK II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	SJK II	1-1 HT 0-0	MP
06/04/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	SJK II	1-0 HT 1-0	MP
27/09/24 Finland Ykkosliiga	SJK II	2-2 HT 2-0	MP
27/07/24 Finland Ykkosliiga	MP	1-2 HT 0-1	SJK II
28/05/24 Finland Ykkosliiga	SJK II	0-0 HT 0-0	MP
14/10/23 Finland Ykkosliiga	MP	1-4 HT 0-2	SJK II

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KTP	22	16	3	3	38	21	51
2	PK-35	22	13	6	3	37	14	45
3	FC Haka	21	12	4	5	41	22	40
4	Jippo	22	10	7	5	29	19	37
5	JaPS	22	10	2	10	21	31	32
6	Ekenäs IF	22	8	3	11	26	33	27
7	MP	21	6	3	12	22	33	21
8	Klubi-04	21	4	7	10	25	29	19
9	KaPa	21	4	5	12	21	35	17
10	SJK II	22	2	6	14	13	36	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MP	SJK II
PK-35	0-3 L	0-3 L
Klubi-04	3-4 L	2-6 L
Ekenäs IF	0-2 L	0-0 D
JaPS	0-1 L	0-1 L
KaPa	2-1 W	2-2 D
KTP	3-3 D	1-2 L
Jippo	1-3 L	1-0 W
FC Haka	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: MP (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MP

LWDLDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-3	0-3	10	1	L
22/08	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	3-4	3-4	3	4	L
16/08	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
07/08	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
29/07	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	2-1	2-1	3	5	W
25/07	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	2-1	3-3	7	2	D
15/07	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-3	3	4	L
11/07	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
05/07	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
26/06	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	1-1	1-2	1	4	L

SJK II

LLDDDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	2-6	0	6	L
21/08	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
15/08	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
08/08	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	0-3	7	2	L
31/07	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
25/07	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
17/07	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	2-2	6	2	D
11/07	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
03/07	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
26/06	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-2	11	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MP vs SJK II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MP win (44%). Probabilities: MP 44%, draw 27%, SJK II 28%.

How many goals are expected in MP vs SJK II?

The model expects 2.75 goals (MP 1.55 · SJK II 1.2), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MP vs SJK II?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.