Football · USA USL League One · 24/10, 22:00

Prediction: New York Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

Team pages: New York Cosmos · Chattanooga Red Wolves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

New York Cosmos1.52

Chattanooga Red Wolves1.55

1X2

36% 26% 38%

New York Cosmos Draw Chattanooga Red Wolves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

New York Cosmos 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLLWLLLD

Chattanooga Red Wolves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWDLLWLL

Head-to-head

New York Cosmos 0–1–0 Chattanooga Red Wolves (1 last)

Chattanooga Red Wolves3-3New York Cosmos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · New York Cosmos 1450 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1493

	New York Cosmos	Draw	Chattanooga Red Wolves
Our model	36%	26%	37%
Market	37%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chattanooga Red Wolves (rating 1450 vs 1493).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	New York Cosmos	Chattanooga Red Wolves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.2	1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	3.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.50

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.45▼	Pinn 2.50
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.68 ★
2	2.05 → 2.38▲	Pinn 2.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:53 +11’	2.90	3.60	2.05
11:59 +11’	2.45▼	3.50▼	2.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:58 +5’	2.50	3.68	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · New York Cosmos 0–1–0 Chattanooga Red Wolves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 USA USL League One	Chattanooga Red Wolves	3-3 HT 2-1	New York Cosmos

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	31	20	6	5	73	42	66
2	Union Omaha	31	19	4	8	54	34	61
3	Forward Madison FC	31	16	7	8	54	30	55
4	AC Boise	31	16	7	8	49	41	55
5	Spokane Velocity FC	31	16	6	9	50	43	54
6	One Knoxville SC	32	15	9	8	52	36	54
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	31	14	4	13	50	44	46
8	Fort Wayne FC	31	12	9	10	47	40	45
9	FC Naples	31	13	4	14	38	46	43
10	Westchester SC	31	11	6	14	53	49	39
11	Sarasota Paradise	31	11	6	14	47	49	39
12	Corpus Christi FC	31	9	9	13	34	49	36
13	Antelope Valley Alta	31	8	9	14	38	46	33
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	31	7	10	14	44	57	31
15	Greenville Triumph SC	31	7	6	18	36	60	27
16	New York Cosmos	31	7	5	19	39	65	26
17	Richmond Kickers	31	7	5	19	37	64	26

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	New York Cosmos	Chattanooga Red Wolves
Spokane Velocity FC	3-3 D	0-1 L
One Knoxville SC	0-3 L	0-3 L
FC Naples	1-2 L	0-1 L
Richmond Kickers	3-2 W	1-1 D
Westchester SC	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: New York Cosmos (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

New York Cosmos

DLWLLWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	1-0	3-3	5	5	D
17/10	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	0-1	0-3	3	8	L
11/10	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-3	0-3	3	2	L
04/10	FC Naples USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
27/09	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	2-1	3-2	6	9	W
20/09	Westchester SC USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	AC Boise USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	11	3	L
06/09	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	2-0	4-2	5	7	W
03/09	Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One	0-0	1-2	7	7	L
30/08	Union Omaha USA USL League One	1-1	1-1	2	6	D

Chattanooga Red Wolves

WWDWDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
08/10	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
04/10	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	2-0	3-0	7	5	W
01/10	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
27/09	FC Naples USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	11	10	L
20/09	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
17/09	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
13/09	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	1-0	1-1	9	5	D
06/09	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	2-0	3-1	1	2	W
03/09	Westchester SC USA USL League One	1-0	1-0	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in New York Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chattanooga Red Wolves win (38%). Probabilities: New York Cosmos 36%, draw 26%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 38%.

How many goals are expected in New York Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

The model expects 3.07 goals (New York Cosmos 1.52 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.55), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in New York Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.