Football · USA USL League One · 05/07, 01:30

Prediction: Corpus Christi FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

Expected goals: 2.47 (Corpus Christi FC 1.2 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.27). The model gives 34% home, 29% draw, 38% away. Under 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Corpus Christi FC with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Chattanooga Red Wolves has piled up 5-2-3 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Corpus Christi FC won 1 and Chattanooga Red Wolves 0.

38%2
34% 29% 38%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corpus Christi FC 1504 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1516
Corpus Christi FCDrawChattanooga Red Wolves
Our model33%30%37%
Market34%28%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.47Corpus Christi FC 1.2 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.27
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Corpus Christi FCChattanooga Red Wolves
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.51.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.52.9 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.1 / 0.23.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Corpus Christi FC 100 Chattanooga Red Wolves

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
USA USL Cup
Chattanooga Red Wolves0-1
HT 0-1
Corpus Christi FC

Standings · USA USL League One

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Union Omaha 161015 251831
2 One Knoxville SC 14932 261230
3 Charlotte Independence 13922 331729
4 Antelope Valley Alta 15663 221724
5 Forward Madison FC 13724 221423
6 Spokane Velocity FC 14725 171823
7 AC Boise 15636 222321
8 Fort Wayne FC 13562 171221
9 Chattanooga Red Wolves 11614 211319
10 FC Naples 15528 162317
11 Portland Hearts of Pine 14455 212217
12 Sarasota Paradise 165110 172816
13 Corpus Christi FC 15366 182515
14 Westchester SC 14428 232214
15 Richmond Kickers 13328 122411
16 Greenville Triumph SC 11317 112110
17 New York Cosmos 12219 16307

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCorpus Christi FCChattanooga Red Wolves
Charlotte Independence 1-2 L 2-3 L
Sarasota Paradise 4-1 W 4-1 W
Richmond Kickers 1-0 W 5-0 W
Birmingham Legion FC 0-3 L 1-1 D
Portland Hearts of Pine 3-2 W 2-1 W
One Knoxville SC 2-2 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chattanooga Red Wolves (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corpus Christi FC

LDDLWLWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 Charlotte Independence
USA USL League One
1-2 1-2 45 L
25/06 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
0-0 0-0 55 D
21/06 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
2-0 4-1 26 W
14/06 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
0-0 1-0 114 W
10/06 Birmingham Legion FC
USA USL Cup
0-2 0-3 55 L
04/06 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL League One
0-1 3-2 68 W
30/05 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
0-2 0-3 34 L
24/05 One Knoxville SC
USA USL League One
1-0 2-2 38 D
21/05 Fort Wayne FC
USA USL League One
0-0 1-1 38 D
17/05 Tulsa
USA USL Cup
0-0 0-1 310 L

Chattanooga Red Wolves

LWDLWLDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
0-0 2-0 105 W
21/06 FC Naples
USA USL League One
0-0 1-0 44 W
14/06 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL League One
1-0 2-1 82 W
11/06 One Knoxville SC
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-1 94 D
31/05 Charlotte Independence
USA USL League One
2-2 2-3 87 L
28/05 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
2-0 5-0 76 W
24/05 Union Omaha
USA USL League One
0-0 0-2 52 L
17/05 Birmingham Legion FC
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-1 35 D
09/05 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
2-1 4-1 81 W
03/05 AC Boise
USA USL League One
0-2 1-2 53 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corpus Christi FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chattanooga Red Wolves win (38%). Probabilities: Corpus Christi FC 34%, draw 29%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 38%.

How many goals are expected in Corpus Christi FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Corpus Christi FC 1.2 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.27), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Corpus Christi FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.