Prediction: Fort Wayne FC vs Spokane Velocity FC
Expected goals: 2.58 (Fort Wayne FC 1.29 · Spokane Velocity FC 1.29). The model gives 36% home, 28% draw, 36% away. Under 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Fort Wayne FC is 4-5-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Spokane Velocity FC 5-1-4 over its own.
| Fort Wayne FC | Draw | Spokane Velocity FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 36% | 27% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fort Wayne FC (rating 1538 vs 1480).
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fort Wayne FC | Spokane Velocity FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.8 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 31 |
| 2 | One Knoxville SC | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Charlotte Independence | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Antelope Valley Alta | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 24 |
| 5 | Forward Madison FC | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity FC | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 23 |
| 7 | AC Boise | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | 21 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne FC | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 21 |
| 9 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 19 |
| 10 | FC Naples | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 17 |
| 11 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 17 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 16 |
| 13 | Corpus Christi FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 15 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 14 |
| 15 | Richmond Kickers | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 11 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph SC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 10 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 30 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fort Wayne FC | Spokane Velocity FC |
|---|---|---|
| Forward Madison FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Westchester SC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Antelope Valley Alta | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| AC Boise | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Corpus Christi FC | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Fort Wayne FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fort Wayne FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/06 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 11/06 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Union Omaha USA USL Cup |
2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 24/05 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | Indy Eleven USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 07/05 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
Spokane Velocity FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 25/06 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | AC Boise USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/05 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fort Wayne FC vs Spokane Velocity FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fort Wayne FC win (36%). Probabilities: Fort Wayne FC 36%, draw 28%, Spokane Velocity FC 36%.
How many goals are expected in Fort Wayne FC vs Spokane Velocity FC?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Fort Wayne FC 1.29 · Spokane Velocity FC 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fort Wayne FC vs Spokane Velocity FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.