Football · USA USL Championship · 23/07, 01:00
Prediction: Lexington SC vs Oakland Roots
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Lexington SC1.92
Oakland Roots1.31
1X2
Lexington SC
Draw
Oakland Roots
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lexington SC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Oakland Roots
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lexington SC
1–1
Oakland Roots
(2 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lexington SC | Oakland Roots | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.6 | 1.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.5 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lexington SC 1–0–1 Oakland Roots
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/25 USA USL Championship | Oakland Roots | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Lexington SC |
| 24/08/25 USA USL Championship | Lexington SC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Oakland Roots |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 28 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico United | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 21 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 19 |
| 7 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 19 |
| 8 | Tulsa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 9 | Lexington SC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 18 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 15 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 15 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lexington SC | Oakland Roots |
|---|---|---|
| New Mexico United | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| El Paso Locomotive FC | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Las Vegas Lights FC | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Oakland Roots (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lexington SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Louisville City FC USA USL Cup |
2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Indy Eleven USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | Detroit City FC USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
Oakland Roots
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lexington SC vs Oakland Roots?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lexington SC win (51%). Probabilities: Lexington SC 51%, draw 24%, Oakland Roots 25%.
How many goals are expected in Lexington SC vs Oakland Roots?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Lexington SC 1.92 · Oakland Roots 1.31), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lexington SC vs Oakland Roots?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.