Football · USA USL Championship · 06/08, 03:00
Prediction: El Paso Locomotive FC vs Monterey Bay FC
Team pages: El Paso Locomotive FC · Monterey Bay FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
El Paso Locomotive FC1.61
Monterey Bay FC1.2
1X2
El Paso Locomotive FC
Draw
Monterey Bay FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
El Paso Locomotive FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Monterey Bay FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
El Paso Locomotive FC
2–3–1
Monterey Bay FC
(6 last)
- Monterey Bay FC1-0El Paso Locomotive FC
- Monterey Bay FC0-3El Paso Locomotive FC
- El Paso Locomotive FC2-2Monterey Bay FC
- Monterey Bay FC1-2El Paso Locomotive FC
- Monterey Bay FC0-0El Paso Locomotive FC
- El Paso Locomotive FC1-1Monterey Bay FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours El Paso Locomotive FC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Paso Locomotive FC | Monterey Bay FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 2.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · El Paso Locomotive FC 2–3–1 Monterey Bay FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 USA USL Championship | Monterey Bay FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | El Paso Locomotive FC |
| 15/03/26 USA USL Championship | Monterey Bay FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | El Paso Locomotive FC |
| 17/08/25 USA USL Championship | El Paso Locomotive FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Monterey Bay FC |
| 22/06/25 USA USL Championship | Monterey Bay FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | El Paso Locomotive FC |
| 25/08/24 USA USL Championship | Monterey Bay FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | El Paso Locomotive FC |
| 14/03/24 USA USL Championship | El Paso Locomotive FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Monterey Bay FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 31 |
| 3 | Tulsa | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 25 |
| 5 | New Mexico United | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 24 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington SC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 22 |
| 9 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 27 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising FC | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 24 | 21 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Paso Locomotive FC | Monterey Bay FC |
|---|---|---|
| Orange County SC | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Sporting JAX | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Tulsa | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Las Vegas Lights FC | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Phoenix Rising FC | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Lexington SC | 1-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: El Paso Locomotive FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Paso Locomotive FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 19/07 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | New Mexico United USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 11/06 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
Monterey Bay FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 21/06 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/06 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/06 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Paso Locomotive FC vs Monterey Bay FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a El Paso Locomotive FC win (46%). Probabilities: El Paso Locomotive FC 46%, draw 27%, Monterey Bay FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in El Paso Locomotive FC vs Monterey Bay FC?
The model expects 2.82 goals (El Paso Locomotive FC 1.61 · Monterey Bay FC 1.2), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in El Paso Locomotive FC vs Monterey Bay FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.