Football · USA USL Championship · 16/08, 03:00

Prediction: San Antonio FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC

Team pages: San Antonio FC · El Paso Locomotive FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

San Antonio FC1.88

El Paso Locomotive FC0.91

1X2

59% 24% 17%

San Antonio FC Draw El Paso Locomotive FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

San Antonio FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWLWWD

El Paso Locomotive FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLWLWW

Head-to-head

San Antonio FC 4–1–1 El Paso Locomotive FC (6 last)

El Paso Locomotive FC2-3San Antonio FC
San Antonio FC5-2El Paso Locomotive FC
El Paso Locomotive FC1-2San Antonio FC
El Paso Locomotive FC2-2San Antonio FC
San Antonio FC0-1El Paso Locomotive FC
El Paso Locomotive FC1-2San Antonio FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Antonio FC (rating 1559 vs 1468).
H2H favours San Antonio FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Antonio FC	El Paso Locomotive FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	0.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.4	2.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.4	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:40

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.05
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.40
2	3.51 → 3.51	Pinn 3.51

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:39	2.05	3.40	3.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Antonio FC 4–1–1 El Paso Locomotive FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 USA USL Championship	El Paso Locomotive FC	2-3 HT 1-2	San Antonio FC
26/10/25 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	5-2 HT 3-1	El Paso Locomotive FC
05/07/25 USA USL Championship	El Paso Locomotive FC	1-2 HT 0-1	San Antonio FC
10/10/24 USA USL Championship	El Paso Locomotive FC	2-2 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC
06/06/24 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	0-1 HT 0-0	El Paso Locomotive FC
13/07/23 USA USL Championship	El Paso Locomotive FC	1-2 HT 1-0	San Antonio FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Orange County SC	19	9	7	3	29	22	34
2	San Antonio FC	19	8	8	3	26	21	32
3	New Mexico United	16	9	3	4	25	17	30
4	Tulsa	18	8	5	5	20	17	29
5	Lexington SC	18	8	4	6	28	22	28
6	El Paso Locomotive FC	19	8	4	7	29	27	28
7	Sacramento Republic	18	7	6	5	24	16	27
8	Las Vegas Lights FC	19	7	5	7	26	27	26
9	Colorado Switchbacks FC	18	7	4	7	28	26	25
10	Oakland Roots	20	5	7	8	25	29	22
11	Phoenix Rising FC	19	5	7	7	24	26	22
12	Monterey Bay FC	20	4	3	13	21	36	15

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Antonio FC	El Paso Locomotive FC
Las Vegas Lights FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Monterey Bay FC	0-0 D	1-0 W
Tulsa	2-1 W	0-1 L
Sporting JAX	4-4 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: El Paso Locomotive FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

San Antonio FC

DWLWDWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
01/08	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	1-0	3-1	5	2	W
26/07	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
19/07	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	5	6	L
12/07	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL Cup	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
05/07	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
25/06	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	2	8	W
14/06	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
07/06	Tulsa USA USL Cup	0-1	2-1	4	9	W
28/05	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	0-3	4-4	5	5	D

El Paso Locomotive FC

DDLWLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
06/08	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
02/08	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-2	13	1	L
26/07	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
19/07	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
12/07	New Mexico United USA USL Cup	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
05/07	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
21/06	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
14/06	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	0	5	D
11/06	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Antonio FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Antonio FC win (59%). Probabilities: San Antonio FC 59%, draw 24%, El Paso Locomotive FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in San Antonio FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?

The model expects 2.79 goals (San Antonio FC 1.88 · El Paso Locomotive FC 0.91), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in San Antonio FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.