Football · USA USL Championship · 06/08, 04:30
Prediction: Las Vegas Lights FC vs Oakland Roots
Team pages: Las Vegas Lights FC · Oakland Roots
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Las Vegas Lights FC1.94
Oakland Roots1.08
1X2
Las Vegas Lights FC
Draw
Oakland Roots
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Las Vegas Lights FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Oakland Roots
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Las Vegas Lights FC
1–2–3
Oakland Roots
(6 last)
- Las Vegas Lights FC0-2Oakland Roots
- Oakland Roots4-2Las Vegas Lights FC
- Las Vegas Lights FC2-2Oakland Roots
- Oakland Roots0-0Las Vegas Lights FC
- Las Vegas Lights FC2-3Oakland Roots
- Oakland Roots0-3Las Vegas Lights FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Las Vegas Lights FC (rating 1514 vs 1440).
- H2H favours Oakland Roots: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Las Vegas Lights FC | Oakland Roots | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.7 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Las Vegas Lights FC 1–2–3 Oakland Roots
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 USA USL Cup | Las Vegas Lights FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Oakland Roots |
| 23/04/26 USA USL Championship | Oakland Roots | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Las Vegas Lights FC |
| 12/10/25 USA USL Championship | Las Vegas Lights FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Oakland Roots |
| 30/03/25 USA USL Championship | Oakland Roots | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Las Vegas Lights FC |
| 20/10/24 USA USL Championship | Las Vegas Lights FC | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Oakland Roots |
| 31/03/24 USA USL Championship | Oakland Roots | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Las Vegas Lights FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 31 |
| 3 | Tulsa | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 25 |
| 5 | New Mexico United | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 24 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington SC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 22 |
| 9 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 27 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising FC | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 24 | 21 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Las Vegas Lights FC | Oakland Roots |
|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Rising FC | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| Birmingham Legion FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Las Vegas Lights FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Las Vegas Lights FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 19/07 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 05/07 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Oakland Roots USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Oakland Roots
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/07 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Las Vegas Lights FC vs Oakland Roots?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Las Vegas Lights FC win (56%). Probabilities: Las Vegas Lights FC 56%, draw 24%, Oakland Roots 20%.
How many goals are expected in Las Vegas Lights FC vs Oakland Roots?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Las Vegas Lights FC 1.94 · Oakland Roots 1.08), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Las Vegas Lights FC vs Oakland Roots?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.