Football · USA USL Championship · 16/08, 04:00
Prediction: Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay FC
Team pages: Oakland Roots · Monterey Bay FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Oakland Roots1.59
Monterey Bay FC0.92
1X2
Oakland Roots
Draw
Monterey Bay FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Oakland Roots
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Monterey Bay FC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oakland Roots
3–1–2
Monterey Bay FC
(6 last)
- Monterey Bay FC1-1Oakland Roots
- Monterey Bay FC0-1Oakland Roots
- Oakland Roots1-0Monterey Bay FC
- Oakland Roots2-1Monterey Bay FC
- Monterey Bay FC3-2Oakland Roots
- Monterey Bay FC2-1Oakland Roots
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oakland Roots (rating 1459 vs 1414).
- H2H favours Oakland Roots: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oakland Roots | Monterey Bay FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.4 | 3.2 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oakland Roots 3–1–2 Monterey Bay FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 USA USL Cup | Monterey Bay FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Oakland Roots |
| 08/03/26 USA USL Championship | Monterey Bay FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Oakland Roots |
| 31/08/25 USA USL Championship | Oakland Roots | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Monterey Bay FC |
| 29/06/25 USA USL Cup | Oakland Roots | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Monterey Bay FC |
| 16/03/25 USA USL Championship | Monterey Bay FC | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Oakland Roots |
| 23/06/24 USA USL Championship | Monterey Bay FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Oakland Roots |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 34 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 21 | 32 |
| 3 | New Mexico United | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 30 |
| 4 | Tulsa | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | Lexington SC | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 28 |
| 6 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 28 |
| 7 | Sacramento Republic | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 27 |
| 8 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 26 |
| 9 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 25 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 22 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 26 | 22 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 36 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oakland Roots | Monterey Bay FC |
|---|---|---|
| El Paso Locomotive FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Las Vegas Lights FC | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Lexington SC | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| New Mexico United | 1-2 L | 2-5 L |
| Phoenix Rising FC | 4-3 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Oakland Roots (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oakland Roots
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/08 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/07 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
Monterey Bay FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-5 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 21/06 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/06 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/06 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oakland Roots win (52%). Probabilities: Oakland Roots 52%, draw 28%, Monterey Bay FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay FC?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Oakland Roots 1.59 · Monterey Bay FC 0.92), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.