Football · USA USL Championship · 23/08, 03:00
Prediction: Colorado Switchbacks FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC
Team pages: Colorado Switchbacks FC · El Paso Locomotive FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Colorado Switchbacks FC1.61
El Paso Locomotive FC0.92
1X2
Colorado Switchbacks FC
Draw
El Paso Locomotive FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Colorado Switchbacks FC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
El Paso Locomotive FC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colorado Switchbacks FC
2–4–0
El Paso Locomotive FC
(6 last)
- Colorado Switchbacks FC2-1El Paso Locomotive FC
- El Paso Locomotive FC2-2Colorado Switchbacks FC
- El Paso Locomotive FC0-1Colorado Switchbacks FC
- Colorado Switchbacks FC1-1El Paso Locomotive FC
- El Paso Locomotive FC2-2Colorado Switchbacks FC
- El Paso Locomotive FC1-1Colorado Switchbacks FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colorado Switchbacks FC 1521 · El Paso Locomotive FC 1512
| Colorado Switchbacks FC | Draw | El Paso Locomotive FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 27% | 20% |
| Market | 54% | 25% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Colorado Switchbacks FC: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colorado Switchbacks FC | El Paso Locomotive FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/100/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.1 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Switchbacks FC 2–4–0 El Paso Locomotive FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 USA USL Cup | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | El Paso Locomotive FC |
| 08/03/26 USA USL Championship | El Paso Locomotive FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Colorado Switchbacks FC |
| 01/06/25 USA USL Cup | El Paso Locomotive FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Colorado Switchbacks FC |
| 20/04/25 USA USL Championship | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | El Paso Locomotive FC |
| 09/03/25 USA USL Championship | El Paso Locomotive FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Colorado Switchbacks FC |
| 22/09/24 USA USL Championship | El Paso Locomotive FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Colorado Switchbacks FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 34 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | San Antonio FC | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 32 |
| 4 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 31 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 30 |
| 6 | Tulsa | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 29 |
| 7 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 29 |
| 8 | Lexington SC | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 23 | 28 |
| 9 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 31 | 28 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising FC | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 25 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 30 | 23 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 37 | 16 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colorado Switchbacks FC | El Paso Locomotive FC |
|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Rising FC | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| New Mexico United | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Orange County SC | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| San Antonio FC | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colorado Switchbacks FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-2 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 13/08 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Orange County SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 25/06 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
El Paso Locomotive FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 06/08 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 19/07 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | New Mexico United USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colorado Switchbacks FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colorado Switchbacks FC win (53%). Probabilities: Colorado Switchbacks FC 53%, draw 26%, El Paso Locomotive FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Colorado Switchbacks FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Colorado Switchbacks FC 1.61 · El Paso Locomotive FC 0.92), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Colorado Switchbacks FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.