Football · USA USL Championship · 23/08, 04:00

Prediction: Orange County SC vs Tulsa

Team pages: Orange County SC · Tulsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Orange County SC1.48

Tulsa0.94

1X2

48% 29% 23%

Orange County SC Draw Tulsa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Orange County SC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWDDLWWLL

Tulsa 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDWWLL

Head-to-head

Orange County SC 4–1–1 Tulsa (6 last)

Tulsa0-1Orange County SC
Tulsa1-0Orange County SC
Orange County SC2-1Tulsa
Tulsa0-0Orange County SC
Orange County SC1-0Tulsa
Tulsa0-3Orange County SC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Orange County SC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orange County SC	Tulsa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2.9	1.7 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.79

Under 2.252.01

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.38
X	3.32 → 3.32	Pinn 3.32
2	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:22	2.38	3.32	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Orange County SC 4–1–1 Tulsa

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	0-1 HT 0-0	Orange County SC
24/08/25 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	1-0 HT 1-0	Orange County SC
04/05/25 USA USL Championship	Orange County SC	2-1 HT 0-0	Tulsa
10/08/24 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	0-0 HT 0-0	Orange County SC
31/03/24 USA USL Championship	Orange County SC	1-0 HT 1-0	Tulsa
18/06/23 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	0-3 HT 0-1	Orange County SC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Orange County SC	20	9	7	4	31	25	34
2	New Mexico United	17	10	3	4	26	17	33
3	San Antonio FC	20	8	8	4	26	24	32
4	El Paso Locomotive FC	20	9	4	7	32	27	31
5	Sacramento Republic	19	8	6	5	25	16	30
6	Tulsa	19	8	5	6	20	18	29
7	Las Vegas Lights FC	20	8	5	7	28	28	29
8	Lexington SC	19	8	4	7	28	23	28
9	Colorado Switchbacks FC	19	8	4	7	31	28	28
10	Oakland Roots	21	5	8	8	26	30	23
11	Phoenix Rising FC	19	5	7	7	24	26	22
12	Monterey Bay FC	21	4	4	13	22	37	16

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orange County SC	Tulsa
El Paso Locomotive FC	2-0 W	1-0 W
Monterey Bay FC	2-1 W	2-0 W
Colorado Switchbacks FC	0-3 L	1-2 L
New Mexico United	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Orange County SC

DWWDDLWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-1	2-3	5	1	L
09/08	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-1	0-3	1	5	L
02/08	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
26/07	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-1	1	3	W
12/07	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Cup	0-0	0-3	1	4	L
09/07	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
05/07	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
25/06	Miami FC USA USL Championship	1-1	4-2	3	4	W
21/06	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-1	3-2	5	2	W
14/06	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	1-1	1-1	4	1	D

Tulsa

LWLLWDWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
09/08	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
06/08	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
30/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
26/07	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	6	10	D
19/07	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
12/07	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Cup	1-1	1-3	4	5	L
21/06	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	0	4	L
18/06	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
14/06	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	1-3	1-5	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orange County SC vs Tulsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orange County SC win (48%). Probabilities: Orange County SC 48%, draw 29%, Tulsa 23%.

How many goals are expected in Orange County SC vs Tulsa?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Orange County SC 1.48 · Tulsa 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Orange County SC vs Tulsa?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.