Football · USA USL Championship · 23/08, 01:00

Prediction: Detroit City FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies

Team pages: Detroit City FC · Tampa Bay Rowdies

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Detroit City FC1.38

Tampa Bay Rowdies1.03

1X2

44% 30% 27%

Detroit City FC Draw Tampa Bay Rowdies

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Detroit City FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWLDWD

Tampa Bay Rowdies 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWWWDW

Head-to-head

Detroit City FC 2–3–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies (6 last)

Tampa Bay Rowdies1-1Detroit City FC
Detroit City FC2-0Tampa Bay Rowdies
Detroit City FC1-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies2-3Detroit City FC
Detroit City FC1-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies5-1Detroit City FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Detroit City FC: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Detroit City FC	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.8	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	3.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:42

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.37 → 3.37	Pinn 3.37
X	2.66 → 2.66	Pinn 2.66
2	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:42	3.37	2.66	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Detroit City FC 2–3–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/10/25 USA USL Championship	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1-1 HT 0-0	Detroit City FC
24/08/25 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Tampa Bay Rowdies
03/11/24 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Tampa Bay Rowdies
22/08/24 USA USL Championship	Tampa Bay Rowdies	2-3 HT 1-1	Detroit City FC
07/07/24 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Tampa Bay Rowdies
14/05/23 USA USL Championship	Tampa Bay Rowdies	5-1 HT 4-1	Detroit City FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	20	13	5	2	38	19	44
2	Charleston Battery	20	10	3	7	39	27	33
3	Detroit City FC	19	9	5	5	26	17	32
4	Louisville City FC	20	9	4	7	36	34	31
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	20	9	3	8	23	21	30
6	Indy Eleven	18	7	4	7	21	21	25
7	Rhode Island FC	18	7	4	7	27	21	25
8	Hartford Athletic	19	5	9	5	15	18	24
9	Miami FC	21	5	7	9	25	34	22
10	Loudoun United FC	19	3	10	6	21	30	19
11	Birmingham Legion FC	18	3	8	7	20	24	17
12	Brooklyn FC	18	3	4	11	18	34	13
13	Sporting JAX	20	1	5	14	23	52	8

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Detroit City FC	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Loudoun United FC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Miami FC	2-2 D	3-2 W
Louisville City FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Tampa Bay Rowdies (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Detroit City FC

DWDWWWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
09/08	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
02/08	Miami FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-2	4	9	D
26/07	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
19/07	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	5	7	W
12/07	Fort Wayne FC USA USL Cup	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
03/07	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
20/06	Louisville City FC USA USL Cup	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
14/06	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	3-1	6-2	3	6	W
11/06	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	10	4	D

Tampa Bay Rowdies

LWLWDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
13/08	Louisville City FC USA USL Cup	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
09/08	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	1-0	3-0	1	5	W
02/08	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-3	5-4	5	1	W
26/07	Miami FC USA USL Championship	2-1	3-2	3	10	W
19/07	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
12/07	FC Naples USA USL Cup	2-0	2-0	3	7	W
05/07	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-3	1-4	12	3	L
21/06	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
14/06	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	15	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Detroit City FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Detroit City FC win (44%). Probabilities: Detroit City FC 44%, draw 30%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 27%.

How many goals are expected in Detroit City FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Detroit City FC 1.38 · Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.03), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Detroit City FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.