Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 05/10, 20:00

Prediction: Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario

Team pages: Sportivo Barracas · Leones de Rosario

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.77Total

Sportivo Barracas0.86

Leones de Rosario0.92

1X2

31% 34% 35%

Sportivo Barracas Draw Leones de Rosario

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 54% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Sportivo Barracas 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLDLWLLD

Leones de Rosario 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWLWWWDDL

Head-to-head

Sportivo Barracas 0–1 Leones de Rosario (1 last)

Leones de Rosario2-0Sportivo Barracas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sportivo Barracas 1489 · Leones de Rosario 1534

	Sportivo Barracas	Draw	Leones de Rosario
Our model	31%	36%	34%
Market	32%	33%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 1.77 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leones de Rosario (rating 1489 vs 1534).
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sportivo Barracas	Leones de Rosario
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.5 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	1.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	4.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.80

X2.75

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.82

Under 1.751.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:29 +2’	2.80	2.75	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Barracas 0–0–1 Leones de Rosario

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Leones de Rosario	2-0 HT 0-0	Sportivo Barracas

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	30	17	7	6	44	22	58
2	Canuelas FC	30	16	9	5	38	21	57
3	Deportivo Espanol	30	11	15	4	24	15	48
4	Central Cordoba de Rosario	30	12	10	8	31	22	46
5	Leones de Rosario	30	11	12	7	27	24	45
6	General Lamadrid	30	9	13	8	23	26	40
7	Sportivo Barracas	30	11	6	13	32	30	39
8	Central Ballester	30	10	8	12	28	28	38
9	CA Atlas	30	9	10	11	23	26	37
10	El Porvenir	30	7	15	8	25	30	36
11	Yupanqui	30	8	11	11	33	34	35
12	CA Claypole	30	8	8	14	24	38	32
13	Fenix	30	7	10	13	22	30	31
14	Deportivo Muniz	30	5	11	14	20	35	26

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sportivo Barracas	Leones de Rosario
CA Atlas	1-1 D	1-0 W
Canuelas FC	0-2 L	0-1 L
Defensores de Cambaceres	0-1 L	2-0 W
Deportivo Muniz	2-0 W	2-1 W
Deportivo Espanol	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Leones de Rosario (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sportivo Barracas

WWWLDLWLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
21/09	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
13/09	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
07/09	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
26/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
23/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
16/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	10	6	W
10/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	1	10	W
28/07	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	3-2	3	5	W

Leones de Rosario

DDWLWWWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
20/09	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
12/09	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
04/09	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
31/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
25/08	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
22/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
17/08	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	3	8	W
04/08	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
31/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Leones de Rosario win (35%). Probabilities: Sportivo Barracas 31%, draw 34%, Leones de Rosario 35%.

How many goals are expected in Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?

The model expects 1.77 goals (Sportivo Barracas 0.86 · Leones de Rosario 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.