Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 12/10, 20:00

Prediction: Canuelas FC vs Central Ballester

Team pages: Canuelas FC · Central Ballester

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

Canuelas FC1.43

Central Ballester0.66

1X2

55% 28% 17%

Canuelas FC Draw Central Ballester

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Canuelas FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWWD

Central Ballester 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDWWWDLL

Head-to-head

Canuelas FC 1–1–1 Central Ballester (3 last)

Central Ballester0-1Canuelas FC
Canuelas FC0-0Central Ballester
Central Ballester2-0Canuelas FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Canuelas FC 1574 · Central Ballester 1498

	Canuelas FC	Draw	Central Ballester
Our model	54%	29%	16%
Market	55%	28%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canuelas FC (rating 1574 vs 1498).
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Canuelas FC	Central Ballester
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.9	1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.6	1.7 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.25

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:50 +3’	1.61	3.25	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Canuelas FC 1–1–1 Central Ballester

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Central Ballester	0-1 HT 0-1	Canuelas FC
19/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Canuelas FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Central Ballester
06/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Central Ballester	2-0 HT 1-0	Canuelas FC

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	31	18	7	6	45	22	61
2	Canuelas FC	31	16	10	5	39	22	58
3	Central Cordoba de Rosario	31	13	10	8	32	22	49
4	Deportivo Espanol	31	11	16	4	25	16	49
5	Leones de Rosario	31	12	12	7	29	24	48
6	General Lamadrid	31	9	13	9	23	27	40
7	Sportivo Barracas	31	11	6	14	32	32	39
8	Central Ballester	31	10	8	13	29	30	38
9	CA Atlas	31	9	10	12	23	27	37
10	El Porvenir	31	7	16	8	26	31	37
11	Yupanqui	31	8	11	12	33	35	35
12	Fenix	31	8	10	13	23	30	34
13	CA Claypole	31	8	9	14	25	39	33
14	Deportivo Muniz	31	6	11	14	22	36	29

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Canuelas FC	Central Ballester
El Porvenir	1-1 D	0-0 D
Fenix	2-1 W	1-3 L
Sportivo Barracas	2-0 W	0-0 D
Yupanqui	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Canuelas FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Canuelas FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
27/09	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
21/09	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
12/09	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
06/09	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-2	1	8	W
31/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	1	3	W
22/08	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
15/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	4	9	L
09/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	2	6	L
03/08	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	5	6	W

Central Ballester

LWDDWWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
21/09	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
12/09	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	2	6	W
08/09	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/08	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
26/08	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
15/08	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-0	8	8	W
10/08	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-3	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Canuelas FC vs Central Ballester?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Canuelas FC win (55%). Probabilities: Canuelas FC 55%, draw 28%, Central Ballester 17%.

How many goals are expected in Canuelas FC vs Central Ballester?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Canuelas FC 1.43 · Central Ballester 0.66), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Canuelas FC vs Central Ballester?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.