Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 12/10, 20:00
Prediction: Berazategui vs Defensores de Cambaceres
Team pages: Berazategui · Defensores de Cambaceres
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Berazategui1.98
Defensores de Cambaceres0.32
1X2
Berazategui
Draw
Defensores de Cambaceres
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 58%
Most likely score
2-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Berazategui
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Defensores de Cambaceres
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Berazategui
4–1–1
Defensores de Cambaceres
(6 last)
- Defensores de Cambaceres0-1Berazategui
- Defensores de Cambaceres0-1Berazategui
- Berazategui2-0Defensores de Cambaceres
- Berazategui1-1Defensores de Cambaceres
- Defensores de Cambaceres0-2Berazategui
- Berazategui1-3Defensores de Cambaceres
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Berazategui 1525 · Defensores de Cambaceres 1488
| Berazategui | Draw | Defensores de Cambaceres | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 19% | 4% |
| Market | 78% | 17% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Berazategui: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Berazategui | Defensores de Cambaceres | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.8 | 2.6 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.7 | 4.9 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Berazategui 4–1–1 Defensores de Cambaceres
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Berazategui |
| 24/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Berazategui |
| 11/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
| 11/11/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
| 08/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Berazategui |
| 13/03/18 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berazategui | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 37 | 24 | 48 |
| 2 | Centro Espanol | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 28 | 47 |
| 3 | Sacachispas | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 26 | 47 |
| 4 | CA Lugano | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 28 | 46 |
| 5 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 31 | 45 |
| 6 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 31 | 29 | 45 |
| 7 | Club Mercedes | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 30 | 24 | 44 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 44 |
| 9 | Puerto Nuevo | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 38 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 31 | 36 |
| 11 | JJ Urquiza | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 26 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 23 | 39 | 32 |
| 13 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 56 | 31 |
| 14 | Argentino de Rosario | 31 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 30 | 41 | 27 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Berazategui | Defensores de Cambaceres |
|---|---|---|
| CA Lugano | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Victoriano Arenas | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Centro Espanol | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Berazategui (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Berazategui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 31/08 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 04/08 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Defensores de Cambaceres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 28/09 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/09 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 17/08 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Berazategui vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Berazategui win (77%). Probabilities: Berazategui 77%, draw 18%, Defensores de Cambaceres 5%.
How many goals are expected in Berazategui vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Berazategui 1.98 · Defensores de Cambaceres 0.32), with a 59% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Berazategui vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
The model gives a 58% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.