Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 04/10, 20:00

Prediction: Sacachispas vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Team pages: Sacachispas · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.81Total

Sacachispas1.11

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.7

1X2

44% 35% 21%

Sacachispas Draw Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Sacachispas 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWDLLL

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWLDLDDW

Head-to-head

Sacachispas 0–1–0 Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn (1 last)

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0-0Sacachispas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sacachispas 1473 · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1494

	Sacachispas	Draw	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Our model	44%	34%	22%
Market	44%	35%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sacachispas	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.2	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.7 / 0.2	5.2 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.05

X2.55

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.95

Under 1.751.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.05▼	Bet365 2.05
X	2.45 → 2.55▲	Bet365 2.55
2	3.50 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:08 +8’	2.35	2.45	3.50
23:06 +4’	2.05▼	2.55▲	4.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sacachispas 0–1–0 Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	0-0 HT 0-0	Sacachispas

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Berazategui	30	12	12	6	35	21	48
2	CA Lugano	30	11	13	6	33	25	46
3	Sacachispas	30	13	7	10	32	26	46
4	Centro Espanol	30	11	11	8	37	27	44
5	Victoriano Arenas	31	10	14	7	24	19	44
6	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	30	11	11	8	31	29	44
7	Club Mercedes	30	11	10	9	29	23	43
8	Juventud Unida San Miguel	30	11	9	10	35	29	42
9	Puerto Nuevo	30	9	11	10	27	31	38
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	31	9	9	13	25	31	36
11	Deportivo Paraguayo	30	7	10	13	22	38	31
12	Club Leandro N. Alem	30	8	7	15	29	51	31
13	JJ Urquiza	30	5	14	11	15	25	29
14	Argentino de Rosario	30	3	15	12	27	39	24

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sacachispas	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Berazategui	0-3 L	0-2 L
Victoriano Arenas	0-1 L	1-1 D
Centro Espanol	1-1 D	0-2 L
JJ Urquiza	2-1 W	1-0 W
Club Mercedes	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sacachispas

LWWDLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	6	7	L
21/09	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
15/09	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
05/09	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	10	D
31/08	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	8	8	W
22/08	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
17/08	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
10/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	8	4	W
04/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	3	9	W
31/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	5	10	L

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

DLWWLDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
20/09	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
12/09	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
06/09	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
30/08	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
24/08	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
15/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	2-1	3	10	W
08/08	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
04/08	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
31/07	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	6	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sacachispas vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sacachispas win (44%). Probabilities: Sacachispas 44%, draw 35%, Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 21%.

How many goals are expected in Sacachispas vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Sacachispas 1.11 · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 0.7), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sacachispas vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.