Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 29/08, 20:00

Prediction: Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Club Mercedes

Team pages: Juventud Unida San Miguel · Club Mercedes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.01Total

Juventud Unida San Miguel1.08

Club Mercedes0.93

1X2

37% 33% 30%

Juventud Unida San Miguel Draw Club Mercedes

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Juventud Unida San Miguel 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWDWLW

Club Mercedes 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWDLLW

Head-to-head

Juventud Unida San Miguel 4–2–0 Club Mercedes (6 last)

Club Mercedes1-1Juventud Unida San Miguel
Juventud Unida San Miguel2-0Club Mercedes
Club Mercedes0-0Juventud Unida San Miguel
Club Mercedes0-4Juventud Unida San Miguel
Juventud Unida San Miguel3-1Club Mercedes
Juventud Unida San Miguel2-1Club Mercedes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1545 · Club Mercedes 1528

	Juventud Unida San Miguel	Draw	Club Mercedes
Our model	37%	33%	29%
Market	38%	33%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Juventud Unida San Miguel: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juventud Unida San Miguel	Club Mercedes
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.6	1.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.3	1.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	5.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.38

X2.75

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.08

2 (+0.25)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.90

Under 1.751.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
04:11 +4’	2.38	2.75	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventud Unida San Miguel 4–2–0 Club Mercedes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Club Mercedes	1-1 HT 1-1	Juventud Unida San Miguel
03/11/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	2-0 HT 0-0	Club Mercedes
01/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Club Mercedes	0-0 HT 0-0	Juventud Unida San Miguel
28/11/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Club Mercedes	0-4 HT 0-2	Juventud Unida San Miguel
21/08/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	3-1 HT 1-1	Club Mercedes
15/04/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	2-1 HT 0-0	Club Mercedes

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	25	12	6	7	29	18	42
2	CA Lugano	25	10	9	6	29	22	39
3	Centro Espanol	25	10	8	7	32	22	38
4	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	25	10	8	7	26	23	38
5	Berazategui	25	9	10	6	26	19	37
6	Club Mercedes	25	9	9	7	25	15	36
7	Victoriano Arenas	25	8	11	6	19	14	35
8	Juventud Unida San Miguel	25	9	8	8	28	24	35
9	Puerto Nuevo	25	8	11	6	22	24	35
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	25	7	7	11	21	28	28
11	Club Leandro N. Alem	25	7	6	12	26	42	27
12	JJ Urquiza	25	4	12	9	11	21	24
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	25	5	8	12	14	31	23
14	Argentino de Rosario	25	3	12	10	23	31	21

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juventud Unida San Miguel	Club Mercedes
CA Claypole	2-0 W	0-1 L
CA Lugano	0-0 D	0-1 L
Sacachispas	0-1 L	2-0 W
Argentino de Rosario	3-0 W	0-2 L
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Juventud Unida San Miguel (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventud Unida San Miguel

WWLDWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	3	0	W
22/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	7	3	L
18/08	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
09/08	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
04/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	10	W
26/07	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	2	5	W
12/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
05/07	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
27/06	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
14/06	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	5	W

Club Mercedes

LWWDWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
18/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
08/08	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
31/07	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	9	D
25/07	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
18/07	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
12/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
06/07	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	–	3-0	–	–	W
27/06	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	4-0	5-0	1	6	W
14/06	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	7	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Club Mercedes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventud Unida San Miguel win (37%). Probabilities: Juventud Unida San Miguel 37%, draw 33%, Club Mercedes 30%.

How many goals are expected in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Club Mercedes?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Juventud Unida San Miguel 1.08 · Club Mercedes 0.93), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Club Mercedes?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.