Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 29/08, 20:00

Prediction: Club Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo

Team pages: Club Leandro N. Alem · Puerto Nuevo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.12Total

Club Leandro N. Alem1.11

Puerto Nuevo1.01

1X2

37% 32% 31%

Club Leandro N. Alem Draw Puerto Nuevo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Leandro N. Alem 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DDLWLDLLLL

Puerto Nuevo 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLDWDDL

Head-to-head

Club Leandro N. Alem 3–3 Puerto Nuevo (6 last)

Puerto Nuevo1-4Club Leandro N. Alem
Puerto Nuevo1-0Club Leandro N. Alem
Club Leandro N. Alem2-3Puerto Nuevo
Puerto Nuevo0-3Club Leandro N. Alem
Club Leandro N. Alem4-0Puerto Nuevo
Puerto Nuevo3-0Club Leandro N. Alem

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Leandro N. Alem 1440 · Puerto Nuevo 1492

	Club Leandro N. Alem	Draw	Puerto Nuevo
Our model	37%	32%	31%
Market	37%	32%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puerto Nuevo (rating 1440 vs 1492).
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Leandro N. Alem	Puerto Nuevo
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.4	0.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.6 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.5	1.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.6	6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.45

X2.88

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +3’	2.45	2.88	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Leandro N. Alem 3–0–3 Puerto Nuevo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	1-4 HT 0-2	Club Leandro N. Alem
30/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	1-0 HT 0-0	Club Leandro N. Alem
21/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	2-3 HT 1-2	Puerto Nuevo
30/11/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	0-3 HT 0-3	Club Leandro N. Alem
29/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	4-0 HT 3-0	Puerto Nuevo
10/07/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	3-0 HT 2-0	Club Leandro N. Alem

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	25	12	6	7	29	18	42
2	CA Lugano	25	10	9	6	29	22	39
3	Centro Espanol	25	10	8	7	32	22	38
4	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	25	10	8	7	26	23	38
5	Berazategui	25	9	10	6	26	19	37
6	Club Mercedes	25	9	9	7	25	15	36
7	Victoriano Arenas	25	8	11	6	19	14	35
8	Juventud Unida San Miguel	25	9	8	8	28	24	35
9	Puerto Nuevo	25	8	11	6	22	24	35
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	25	7	7	11	21	28	28
11	Club Leandro N. Alem	25	7	6	12	26	42	27
12	JJ Urquiza	25	4	12	9	11	21	24
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	25	5	8	12	14	31	23
14	Argentino de Rosario	25	3	12	10	23	31	21

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Leandro N. Alem	Puerto Nuevo
Juventud Unida San Miguel	1-2 L	1-1 D
Defensores de Cambaceres	0-2 L	0-2 L
Sacachispas	1-1 D	1-0 W
Argentino de Rosario	2-0 W	0-0 D
Berazategui	1-1 D	2-0 W
Victoriano Arenas	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Puerto Nuevo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Leandro N. Alem

DDLWLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	5	0	L
22/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
15/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	4	8	L
08/08	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
27/07	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	6	8	D
18/07	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
12/07	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	8	W
04/07	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	1	4	L
28/06	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
13/06	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	5	D

Puerto Nuevo

WLWWLDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	9	L
14/08	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-2	2	3	D
09/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
31/07	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	10	W
23/07	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
17/07	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
05/07	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
28/06	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	2	11	W
14/06	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	1	6	L
06/06	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Leandro N. Alem win (37%). Probabilities: Club Leandro N. Alem 37%, draw 32%, Puerto Nuevo 31%.

How many goals are expected in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?

The model expects 2.12 goals (Club Leandro N. Alem 1.11 · Puerto Nuevo 1.01), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.