Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 03/10, 20:00

Prediction: Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Berazategui

Team pages: Juventud Unida San Miguel · Berazategui

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.15Total

Juventud Unida San Miguel0.97

Berazategui1.18

1X2

29% 32% 40%

Juventud Unida San Miguel Draw Berazategui

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Juventud Unida San Miguel 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWLLWD

Berazategui 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWLDLDWWDW

Head-to-head

Juventud Unida San Miguel 1–2 Berazategui (3 last)

Berazategui2-1Juventud Unida San Miguel
Berazategui0-1Juventud Unida San Miguel
Juventud Unida San Miguel0-1Berazategui

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1525 · Berazategui 1522

	Juventud Unida San Miguel	Draw	Berazategui
Our model	29%	32%	39%
Market	29%	31%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Berazategui: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juventud Unida San Miguel	Berazategui
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.9	2.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	5 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

13.10

X2.88

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:05 +6’	3.10	2.88	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1–0–2 Berazategui

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/06/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Berazategui	2-1 HT 0-1	Juventud Unida San Miguel
14/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Berazategui	0-1 HT 0-0	Juventud Unida San Miguel
14/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	0-1 HT 0-1	Berazategui

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Berazategui	30	12	12	6	35	21	48
2	CA Lugano	30	11	13	6	33	25	46
3	Sacachispas	30	13	7	10	32	26	46
4	Centro Espanol	30	11	11	8	37	27	44
5	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	30	11	11	8	31	29	44
6	Club Mercedes	30	11	10	9	29	23	43
7	Juventud Unida San Miguel	30	11	9	10	35	29	42
8	Victoriano Arenas	30	9	14	7	23	19	41
9	Puerto Nuevo	30	9	11	10	27	31	38
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	30	9	9	12	25	30	36
11	Deportivo Paraguayo	30	7	10	13	22	38	31
12	Club Leandro N. Alem	30	8	7	15	29	51	31
13	JJ Urquiza	30	5	14	11	15	25	29
14	Argentino de Rosario	30	3	15	12	27	39	24

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juventud Unida San Miguel	Berazategui
Victoriano Arenas	1-1 D	0-1 L
Centro Espanol	2-0 W	0-1 L
JJ Urquiza	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Juventud Unida San Miguel (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventud Unida San Miguel

WDWLWWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
19/09	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	3	2	W
12/09	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	7	8	L
06/09	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
30/08	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	4-1	4	5	W
25/08	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	3	0	W
22/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	7	3	L
18/08	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
09/08	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
04/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Berazategui

DWLDLDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	4	7	W
19/09	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
12/09	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	7	W
06/09	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	1	7	W
31/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	9	7	D
22/08	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
16/08	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	10	5	D
08/08	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
04/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
31/07	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	0	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Berazategui?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Berazategui win (40%). Probabilities: Juventud Unida San Miguel 29%, draw 32%, Berazategui 40%.

How many goals are expected in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Berazategui?

The model expects 2.15 goals (Juventud Unida San Miguel 0.97 · Berazategui 1.18), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Berazategui?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.