Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 29/08, 20:00

Prediction: Central Ballester vs Yupanqui

Team pages: Central Ballester · Yupanqui

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Central Ballester1

Yupanqui1.09

1X2

32% 32% 36%

Central Ballester Draw Yupanqui

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Central Ballester 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDLWDD

Yupanqui 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLDDLWDL

Head-to-head

Central Ballester 0–1–5 Yupanqui (6 last)

Yupanqui2-0Central Ballester
Central Ballester0-1Yupanqui
Yupanqui4-1Central Ballester
Central Ballester0-1Yupanqui
Yupanqui3-0Central Ballester
Yupanqui1-1Central Ballester

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Central Ballester 1474 · Yupanqui 1486

	Central Ballester	Draw	Yupanqui
Our model	31%	33%	36%
Market	32%	31%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Yupanqui: 5-1-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Central Ballester	Yupanqui
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.9	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.4	5.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.80

X2.88

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:09 +6’	2.80	2.88	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Ballester 0–1–5 Yupanqui

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Yupanqui	2-0 HT 1-0	Central Ballester
15/09/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Central Ballester	0-1 HT 0-1	Yupanqui
31/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Yupanqui	4-1 HT 1-1	Central Ballester
21/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Central Ballester	0-1 HT 0-1	Yupanqui
20/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Yupanqui	3-0 HT 1-0	Central Ballester
11/09/22 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Yupanqui	1-1 HT 0-0	Central Ballester

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	25	13	7	5	33	19	46
2	Canuelas FC	25	11	9	5	27	18	42
3	Leones de Rosario	25	9	10	6	24	22	37
4	General Lamadrid	25	9	9	7	22	23	36
5	Sportivo Barracas	25	10	5	10	29	25	35
6	Deportivo Espanol	25	7	14	4	18	14	35
7	CA Atlas	25	9	8	8	22	21	35
8	Yupanqui	25	8	9	8	31	28	33
9	Central Cordoba de Rosario	25	8	9	8	23	21	33
10	El Porvenir	25	5	15	5	18	21	30
11	Central Ballester	25	7	7	11	23	27	28
12	Fenix	25	6	9	10	19	25	27
13	CA Claypole	25	6	8	11	17	30	26
14	Deportivo Muniz	25	4	10	11	17	26	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Central Ballester	Yupanqui
Sportivo Barracas	0-0 D	3-2 W
El Porvenir	0-0 D	3-0 W
Fenix	1-3 L	1-1 D
Lujan	1-3 L	0-2 L
CA Atlas	0-2 L	0-2 L
Canuelas FC	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Yupanqui (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Central Ballester

LLWWLDLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
15/08	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-0	8	8	W
10/08	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-3	6	2	L
04/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	9	D
26/07	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-3	5	4	L
12/07	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
04/07	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
30/06	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
14/06	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	7	L

Yupanqui

LLWLDDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	8	9	L
14/08	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
08/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	1	4	W
03/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	2	7	L
27/07	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
17/07	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
11/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	11	6	L
06/07	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	3-2	–	–	W
27/06	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	4	8	L
14/06	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	3	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Central Ballester vs Yupanqui?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Yupanqui win (36%). Probabilities: Central Ballester 32%, draw 32%, Yupanqui 36%.

How many goals are expected in Central Ballester vs Yupanqui?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Central Ballester 1 · Yupanqui 1.09), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Central Ballester vs Yupanqui?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.