Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 26/09, 20:00

Prediction: Deportivo Espanol vs Central Ballester

Team pages: Deportivo Espanol · Central Ballester

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.31Total

Deportivo Espanol0.99

Central Ballester0.32

1X2

53% 33% 14%

Deportivo Espanol Draw Central Ballester

Markets

Under 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 61%

Most likely score

0-0 28%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Espanol 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WWDDDDWWDW

Central Ballester 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDLWDDWWWD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Espanol 0–3–0 Central Ballester (3 last)

Central Ballester0-0Deportivo Espanol
Deportivo Espanol1-1Central Ballester
Central Ballester0-0Deportivo Espanol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Espanol 1564 · Central Ballester 1537

	Deportivo Espanol	Draw	Central Ballester
Our model	51%	38%	11%
Market	55%	29%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 1.31 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 85%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Espanol	Central Ballester
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.1	1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.3	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.10

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 1.752.02

Under 1.751.77

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 1.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:26 +2’	1.61	3.10	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Espanol 0–3–0 Central Ballester

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Central Ballester	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Espanol
13/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Espanol	1-1 HT 1-0	Central Ballester
23/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Central Ballester	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Espanol

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	29	16	7	6	43	22	55
2	Canuelas FC	29	15	9	5	36	20	54
3	Deportivo Espanol	29	10	15	4	23	15	45
4	Leones de Rosario	29	11	12	6	27	23	45
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	29	11	10	8	29	21	43
6	General Lamadrid	29	9	12	8	23	26	39
7	Sportivo Barracas	29	11	5	13	31	29	38
8	Central Ballester	29	10	8	11	28	27	38
9	CA Atlas	29	9	9	11	22	25	36
10	El Porvenir	29	7	15	7	23	27	36
11	Yupanqui	29	8	10	11	33	34	34
12	CA Claypole	29	8	8	13	23	36	32
13	Fenix	29	7	10	12	21	28	31
14	Deportivo Muniz	29	4	11	14	17	33	23

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Espanol	Central Ballester
El Porvenir	2-0 W	0-0 D
Fenix	1-0 W	1-3 L
Sportivo Barracas	1-0 W	0-0 D
Lujan	0-0 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Espanol (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Espanol

WWDDDDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
11/09	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
06/09	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
31/08	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
24/08	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
17/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
07/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
31/07	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
25/07	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
17/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	1	5	W

Central Ballester

LDLWDDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
12/09	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	2	6	W
08/09	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/08	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
26/08	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
15/08	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-0	8	8	W
10/08	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-3	6	2	L
04/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	9	D
26/07	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-3	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Espanol vs Central Ballester?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Espanol win (53%). Probabilities: Deportivo Espanol 53%, draw 33%, Central Ballester 14%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Espanol vs Central Ballester?

The model expects 1.31 goals (Deportivo Espanol 0.99 · Central Ballester 0.32), with a 61% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Espanol vs Central Ballester?

The model gives a 61% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.