Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 29/08, 20:00

Prediction: Argentino de Rosario vs Centro Espanol

Team pages: Argentino de Rosario · Centro Espanol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

Argentino de Rosario0.92

Centro Espanol1.3

1X2

25% 31% 44%

Argentino de Rosario Draw Centro Espanol

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Argentino de Rosario 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLDDLWLL

Centro Espanol 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDLLDWDW

Head-to-head

Argentino de Rosario 1–1–4 Centro Espanol (6 last)

Centro Espanol3-2Argentino de Rosario
Centro Espanol3-0Argentino de Rosario
Argentino de Rosario1-0Centro Espanol
Argentino de Rosario2-3Centro Espanol
Centro Espanol2-0Argentino de Rosario
Centro Espanol2-2Argentino de Rosario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Argentino de Rosario 1444 · Centro Espanol 1523

	Argentino de Rosario	Draw	Centro Espanol
Our model	25%	31%	44%
Market	25%	31%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Centro Espanol (rating 1444 vs 1523).
H2H favours Centro Espanol: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Argentino de Rosario	Centro Espanol
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.3	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	33/56/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.9	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.60

X2.90

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.02

2 (-0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +2’	3.60	2.90	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentino de Rosario 1–1–4 Centro Espanol

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Centro Espanol	3-2 HT 0-1	Argentino de Rosario
28/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Centro Espanol	3-0 HT 0-0	Argentino de Rosario
14/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	1-0 HT 1-0	Centro Espanol
14/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	2-3 HT 1-0	Centro Espanol
17/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Centro Espanol	2-0 HT 0-0	Argentino de Rosario
20/11/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Centro Espanol	2-2 HT 1-1	Argentino de Rosario

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	25	12	6	7	29	18	42
2	CA Lugano	25	10	9	6	29	22	39
3	Centro Espanol	25	10	8	7	32	22	38
4	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	25	10	8	7	26	23	38
5	Berazategui	25	9	10	6	26	19	37
6	Club Mercedes	25	9	9	7	25	15	36
7	Victoriano Arenas	25	8	11	6	19	14	35
8	Juventud Unida San Miguel	25	9	8	8	28	24	35
9	Puerto Nuevo	25	8	11	6	22	24	35
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	25	7	7	11	21	28	28
11	Club Leandro N. Alem	25	7	6	12	26	42	27
12	JJ Urquiza	25	4	12	9	11	21	24
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	25	5	8	12	14	31	23
14	Argentino de Rosario	25	3	12	10	23	31	21

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Argentino de Rosario	Centro Espanol
JJ Urquiza	1-2 L	0-0 D
Club Mercedes	2-0 W	0-3 L
Deportivo Paraguayo	1-2 L	2-0 W
Puerto Nuevo	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Centro Espanol (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Argentino de Rosario

LLDLDDLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	1	1	L
16/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
08/08	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
31/07	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
23/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
17/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
12/07	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	2	8	L
04/07	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
27/06	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
15/06	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	5	L

Centro Espanol

WWLDLLDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	0	6	W
17/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
08/08	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
04/08	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
31/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
25/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
12/07	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
06/07	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	–	0-3	–	–	L
27/06	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
14/06	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Argentino de Rosario vs Centro Espanol?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Centro Espanol win (44%). Probabilities: Argentino de Rosario 25%, draw 31%, Centro Espanol 44%.

How many goals are expected in Argentino de Rosario vs Centro Espanol?

The model expects 2.23 goals (Argentino de Rosario 0.92 · Centro Espanol 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Argentino de Rosario vs Centro Espanol?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.