Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 26/09, 20:00

Prediction: Victoriano Arenas vs Juventud Unida San Miguel

Team pages: Victoriano Arenas · Juventud Unida San Miguel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.76Total

Victoriano Arenas0.84

Juventud Unida San Miguel0.92

1X2

31% 35% 35%

Victoriano Arenas Draw Juventud Unida San Miguel

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 54% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Victoriano Arenas 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDLWDDLW

Juventud Unida San Miguel 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWWLLW

Head-to-head

Victoriano Arenas 3–2–1 Juventud Unida San Miguel (6 last)

Juventud Unida San Miguel1-1Victoriano Arenas
Victoriano Arenas1-1Juventud Unida San Miguel
Juventud Unida San Miguel0-1Victoriano Arenas
Victoriano Arenas2-1Juventud Unida San Miguel
Juventud Unida San Miguel0-3Victoriano Arenas
Victoriano Arenas1-2Juventud Unida San Miguel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Victoriano Arenas 1505 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1530

	Victoriano Arenas	Draw	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Our model	30%	36%	34%
Market	31%	33%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 1.76 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Victoriano Arenas: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Victoriano Arenas	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 0.6	1.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.1	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.1	1.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X2.70

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 1.51.77

Under 1.52.02

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 18:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.88▲	Bet365 2.88
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	2.90 → 2.55▼	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
16:24 +3’	2.50	2.70	2.90
17:27 +3’	3.10▲	2.70	2.40▼
18:32 +4’	2.88▼	2.70	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Victoriano Arenas 3–2–1 Juventud Unida San Miguel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	1-1 HT 0-1	Victoriano Arenas
02/09/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Victoriano Arenas	1-1 HT 1-1	Juventud Unida San Miguel
20/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	0-1 HT 0-0	Victoriano Arenas
20/07/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Victoriano Arenas	2-1 HT 1-1	Juventud Unida San Miguel
18/02/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	0-3 HT 0-3	Victoriano Arenas
22/04/18 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Victoriano Arenas	1-2 HT 0-1	Juventud Unida San Miguel

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	29	13	7	9	32	23	46
2	Berazategui	29	11	12	6	32	21	45
3	CA Lugano	29	11	12	6	32	24	45
4	Centro Espanol	29	10	11	8	35	27	41
5	Juventud Unida San Miguel	29	11	8	10	34	28	41
6	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	29	10	11	8	29	28	41
7	Club Mercedes	29	10	10	9	28	23	40
8	Victoriano Arenas	29	9	13	7	22	18	40
9	Puerto Nuevo	29	9	11	9	27	30	38
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	29	9	9	11	25	28	36
11	Deportivo Paraguayo	29	7	9	13	21	37	30
12	JJ Urquiza	29	5	14	10	14	23	29
13	Club Leandro N. Alem	29	7	7	15	27	50	28
14	Argentino de Rosario	29	3	15	11	26	37	24

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Victoriano Arenas	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Centro Espanol	1-0 W	2-0 W
JJ Urquiza	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Victoriano Arenas

LDWDLWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	10	6	W
12/09	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
05/09	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
30/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
22/08	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
15/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
09/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
31/07	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
25/07	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
17/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	5	L

Juventud Unida San Miguel

WWDWLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	3	2	W
12/09	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	7	8	L
06/09	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
30/08	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	4-1	4	5	W
25/08	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	3	0	W
22/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	7	3	L
18/08	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
09/08	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
04/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
26/07	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Victoriano Arenas vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Juventud Unida San Miguel win (35%). Probabilities: Victoriano Arenas 31%, draw 35%, Juventud Unida San Miguel 35%.

How many goals are expected in Victoriano Arenas vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

The model expects 1.76 goals (Victoriano Arenas 0.84 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 0.92), with a 54% chance of over 1.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Victoriano Arenas vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.