Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 29/08, 20:00
Prediction: El Porvenir vs CA Claypole
Team pages: El Porvenir · CA Claypole
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.79Total
El Porvenir0.98
CA Claypole0.81
1X2
El Porvenir
Draw
CA Claypole
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
El Porvenir
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
CA Claypole
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
El Porvenir
1–2–3
CA Claypole
(6 last)
- CA Claypole1-2El Porvenir
- El Porvenir0-0CA Claypole
- CA Claypole4-2El Porvenir
- El Porvenir0-0CA Claypole
- CA Claypole4-1El Porvenir
- El Porvenir0-2CA Claypole
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · El Porvenir 1471 · CA Claypole 1446
| El Porvenir | Draw | CA Claypole | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 36% | 28% |
| Market | 38% | 33% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.79 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CA Claypole: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Porvenir | CA Claypole | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 5.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · El Porvenir 1–2–3 CA Claypole
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Claypole | 1-2 HT 0-1 | El Porvenir |
| 10/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Claypole |
| 26/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Claypole | 4-2 HT 1-2 | El Porvenir |
| 13/10/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Claypole |
| 10/05/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Claypole | 4-1 HT 0-1 | El Porvenir |
| 18/06/22 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CA Claypole |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 46 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 42 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 37 |
| 4 | General Lamadrid | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 36 |
| 5 | Sportivo Barracas | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 25 | 35 |
| 6 | Deportivo Espanol | 25 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 35 |
| 7 | CA Atlas | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 35 |
| 8 | Yupanqui | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 23 | 21 | 33 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | Central Ballester | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 27 | 28 |
| 12 | Fenix | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 25 | 27 |
| 13 | CA Claypole | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 26 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 26 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Porvenir | CA Claypole |
|---|---|---|
| Fenix | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Sportivo Barracas | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Club Mercedes | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Lujan | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| General Lamadrid | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Leones de Rosario | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| CA Atlas | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: El Porvenir (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Porvenir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 28/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
CA Claypole
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 18/08 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 10/08 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 04/08 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 31/07 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 13/07 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 30/06 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Porvenir vs CA Claypole?
According to our model, the most likely result is a El Porvenir win (38%). Probabilities: El Porvenir 38%, draw 34%, CA Claypole 28%.
How many goals are expected in El Porvenir vs CA Claypole?
The model expects 1.79 goals (El Porvenir 0.98 · CA Claypole 0.81), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in El Porvenir vs CA Claypole?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.