Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 11/07, 20:00
Prediction: Defensores de Cambaceres vs Sacachispas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.62Total
Defensores de Cambaceres0.72
Sacachispas0.9
1X2
Defensores de Cambaceres
Draw
Sacachispas
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Defensores de Cambaceres
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Sacachispas
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensores de Cambaceres
0–2
Sacachispas
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensores de Cambaceres 1450 · Sacachispas 1524
| Defensores de Cambaceres | Draw | Sacachispas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 37% | 36% |
| Market | 28% | 34% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.62 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sacachispas (rating 1450 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Sacachispas: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensores de Cambaceres | Sacachispas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.7 | 2.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.1 | 5.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores de Cambaceres 0–0–2 Sacachispas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Sacachispas | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
| 10/03/17 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Sacachispas | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Centro Espanol | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 3 | Berazategui | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 28 |
| 5 | Victoriano Arenas | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 26 |
| 6 | Puerto Nuevo | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Club Mercedes | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | CA Lugano | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 23 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 21 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 21 |
| 12 | Argentino de Rosario | 18 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 16 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | JJ Urquiza | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 15 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensores de Cambaceres | Sacachispas |
|---|---|---|
| Argentino de Rosario | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Berazategui | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Victoriano Arenas | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Centro Espanol | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| JJ Urquiza | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Club Mercedes | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sacachispas (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensores de Cambaceres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 28/06 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 15/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 12/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 31/05 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 09/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
Sacachispas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 15/06 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 13 | D |
| 03/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 11/05 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensores de Cambaceres vs Sacachispas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sacachispas win (37%). Probabilities: Defensores de Cambaceres 27%, draw 36%, Sacachispas 37%.
How many goals are expected in Defensores de Cambaceres vs Sacachispas?
The model expects 1.62 goals (Defensores de Cambaceres 0.72 · Sacachispas 0.9), with a 56% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensores de Cambaceres vs Sacachispas?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.