Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 11/07, 19:00
Prediction: Deportivo Paraguayo vs Berazategui
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.65Total
Deportivo Paraguayo0.55
Berazategui1.1
1X2
Deportivo Paraguayo
Draw
Berazategui
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Paraguayo
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Berazategui
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Paraguayo
1–1–1
Berazategui
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Paraguayo 1459 · Berazategui 1522
| Deportivo Paraguayo | Draw | Berazategui | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 35% | 48% |
| Market | 20% | 30% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.65 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Berazategui (rating 1459 vs 1522).
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Paraguayo | Berazategui | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.7 | 2.6 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 5.9 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Paraguayo 1–1–1 Berazategui
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Paraguayo |
| 24/11/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Paraguayo | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Berazategui |
| 23/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Paraguayo |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Centro Espanol | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 3 | Berazategui | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 28 |
| 5 | Victoriano Arenas | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 26 |
| 6 | Puerto Nuevo | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Club Mercedes | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | CA Lugano | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 23 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 21 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 21 |
| 12 | Argentino de Rosario | 18 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 16 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | JJ Urquiza | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Paraguayo | Berazategui |
|---|---|---|
| CA Lugano | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Puerto Nuevo | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Club Leandro N. Alem | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Juventud Unida San Miguel | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Berazategui (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Paraguayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 10/05 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
Berazategui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 28/06 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 15/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 08/06 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 16/05 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Paraguayo vs Berazategui?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Berazategui win (49%). Probabilities: Deportivo Paraguayo 19%, draw 32%, Berazategui 49%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Paraguayo vs Berazategui?
The model expects 1.65 goals (Deportivo Paraguayo 0.55 · Berazategui 1.1), with a 59% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Paraguayo vs Berazategui?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.