Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 11/07, 20:00
Prediction: Yupanqui vs Deportivo Muniz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Yupanqui1.47
Deportivo Muniz0.92
1X2
Yupanqui
Draw
Deportivo Muniz
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Yupanqui
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Muniz
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yupanqui
3–1–2
Deportivo Muniz
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yupanqui 1535 · Deportivo Muniz 1451
| Yupanqui | Draw | Deportivo Muniz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 32% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yupanqui (rating 1535 vs 1451).
- H2H favours Yupanqui: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yupanqui | Deportivo Muniz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.9 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 1 | 5.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yupanqui 3–1–2 Deportivo Muniz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Muniz | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Yupanqui |
| 04/10/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Muniz | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Yupanqui |
| 28/09/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Muniz |
| 13/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Deportivo Muniz |
| 22/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Muniz | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Yupanqui |
| 06/08/22 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Muniz |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 32 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 28 |
| 4 | Yupanqui | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | General Lamadrid | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Barracas | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportivo Espanol | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 18 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 24 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 22 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 20 |
| 11 | CA Claypole | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 20 |
| 12 | Central Ballester | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 19 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 14 | Fenix | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yupanqui | Deportivo Muniz |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Barracas | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Espanol | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Lujan | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Central Cordoba de Rosario | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| General Lamadrid | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| CA Claypole | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Central Ballester | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 4 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yupanqui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | D |
| 03/05 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Deportivo Muniz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 25/05 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 17/05 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/05 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yupanqui vs Deportivo Muniz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yupanqui win (48%). Probabilities: Yupanqui 48%, draw 31%, Deportivo Muniz 21%.
How many goals are expected in Yupanqui vs Deportivo Muniz?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Yupanqui 1.47 · Deportivo Muniz 0.92), with a 58% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Yupanqui vs Deportivo Muniz?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.