Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 11/07, 18:00
Prediction: Deportivo Espanol vs Canuelas FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.55Total
Deportivo Espanol0.82
Canuelas FC0.73
1X2
Deportivo Espanol
Draw
Canuelas FC
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Espanol
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Canuelas FC
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Espanol
0–3–0
Canuelas FC
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Espanol 1540 · Canuelas FC 1546
| Deportivo Espanol | Draw | Canuelas FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 38% | 28% |
| Market | 36% | 34% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.55 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Espanol | Canuelas FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Espanol 0–3–0 Canuelas FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Canuelas FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Espanol |
| 15/03/20 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Canuelas FC |
| 21/09/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Canuelas FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Espanol |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 32 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 28 |
| 4 | Yupanqui | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | General Lamadrid | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Barracas | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportivo Espanol | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 18 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 24 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 22 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 20 |
| 11 | CA Claypole | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 20 |
| 12 | Central Ballester | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 19 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 14 | Fenix | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Espanol | Canuelas FC |
|---|---|---|
| Central Cordoba de Rosario | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| CA Claypole | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Central Ballester | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| El Porvenir | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Fenix | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Sportivo Barracas | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Lujan | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Canuelas FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 13/06 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 04/05 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Canuelas FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 30/06 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 01/06 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Espanol vs Canuelas FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (36%). Probabilities: Deportivo Espanol 34%, draw 36%, Canuelas FC 30%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Espanol vs Canuelas FC?
The model expects 1.55 goals (Deportivo Espanol 0.82 · Canuelas FC 0.73), with a 57% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Espanol vs Canuelas FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.