Football · Argentina Nacional B · 12/09, 22:00

Prediction: Racing de Cordoba vs Deportivo Moron

Team pages: Racing de Cordoba · Deportivo Moron

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Racing de Cordoba1.15

Deportivo Moron1.1

1X2

35% 33% 32%

Racing de Cordoba Draw Deportivo Moron

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Racing de Cordoba 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWLWDDWL

Deportivo Moron 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWDDWW

Head-to-head

Racing de Cordoba 0–1 Deportivo Moron (1 last)

Deportivo Moron2-1Racing de Cordoba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Racing de Cordoba 1495 · Deportivo Moron 1550

	Racing de Cordoba	Draw	Deportivo Moron
Our model	36%	31%	33%
Market	34%	34%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Moron (rating 1495 vs 1550).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing de Cordoba	Deportivo Moron
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	1.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.6	1.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	5.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.70

X2.70

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.85

Under 1.751.95

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:20 +3’	2.70	2.70	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing de Cordoba 0–0–1 Deportivo Moron

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Moron	2-1 HT 0-0	Racing de Cordoba

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	28	16	6	6	34	25	54
2	Deportivo Moron	28	15	7	6	45	26	52
3	Colon	28	12	9	7	35	23	45
4	Almirante Brown	27	12	8	7	23	16	44
5	Deportivo Madryn	27	11	10	6	38	25	43
6	Godoy Cruz	27	12	7	8	32	24	43
7	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	27	9	11	7	23	23	38
8	CA Estudiantes Caseros	27	9	9	9	25	24	36
9	Los Andes	27	8	11	8	20	15	35
10	Racing de Cordoba	28	9	8	11	25	32	35
11	Club Atletico Mitre	28	6	13	9	27	35	31
12	All Boys	28	6	13	9	16	24	31
13	CA Chaco For Ever	27	7	8	12	25	29	29
14	Defensores de Belgrano	27	6	11	10	19	24	29
15	Central Norte	27	6	11	10	19	27	29
16	CA San Miguel	27	6	11	10	21	30	29
17	CA San Telmo	28	6	10	12	22	33	28
18	Acassuso	28	5	8	15	19	33	23

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing de Cordoba	Deportivo Moron
Defensores de Belgrano	0-3 L	1-2 L
Colon	1-0 W	2-1 W
CA San Miguel	1-0 W	2-1 W
CA San Telmo	2-1 W	2-2 D
Acassuso	3-2 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Moron (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing de Cordoba

DWLWLWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
30/08	Colon Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
23/08	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
16/08	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
09/08	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
02/08	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
26/07	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
17/07	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
12/07	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-2	5	4	W
05/07	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	6	3	D

Deportivo Moron

LDWLWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Colon Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
30/08	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
27/08	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
21/08	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-2	1	7	D
15/08	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-0	3	6	W
09/08	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	3-1	4-1	2	9	W
02/08	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
26/07	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	2-0	4-0	6	7	W
11/07	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-2	5	2	D
04/07	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-2	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing de Cordoba vs Deportivo Moron?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing de Cordoba win (35%). Probabilities: Racing de Cordoba 35%, draw 33%, Deportivo Moron 32%.

How many goals are expected in Racing de Cordoba vs Deportivo Moron?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Racing de Cordoba 1.15 · Deportivo Moron 1.1), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing de Cordoba vs Deportivo Moron?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.