Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 31/10, 18:00
Prediction: Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine
Team pages: Sportivo Italiano · Villa Dalmine
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Sportivo Italiano1.09
Villa Dalmine1.03
1X2
Sportivo Italiano
Draw
Villa Dalmine
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Italiano
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Villa Dalmine
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Italiano
1–1–3
Villa Dalmine
(5 last)
- Villa Dalmine2-1Sportivo Italiano
- Villa Dalmine0-1Sportivo Italiano
- Sportivo Italiano0-0Villa Dalmine
- Sportivo Italiano0-1Villa Dalmine
- Villa Dalmine2-0Sportivo Italiano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Italiano 1519 · Villa Dalmine 1480
| Sportivo Italiano | Draw | Villa Dalmine | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 32% | 32% |
| Market | 36% | 31% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Villa Dalmine: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Italiano | Villa Dalmine | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.5 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Italiano 1–1–3 Villa Dalmine
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa Dalmine | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Italiano |
| 05/07/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa Dalmine | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Italiano |
| 15/02/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Sportivo Italiano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Villa Dalmine |
| 05/10/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Sportivo Italiano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Villa Dalmine |
| 18/05/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa Dalmine | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Italiano |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 31 | 81 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 41 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 55 | 27 | 76 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 41 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 46 | 26 | 71 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 47 | 33 | 69 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
| 6 | Atletico Camioneros | 41 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 48 | 34 | 67 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 41 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 40 | 65 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 41 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 39 | 62 |
| 9 | Deportivo Laferrere | 41 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 52 | 58 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 41 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 39 | 35 | 57 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 46 | 51 |
| 12 | Villa San Carlos | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 40 | 45 | 50 |
| 13 | CSD Flandria | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 39 | 49 | 48 |
| 14 | Deportivo Merlo | 41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 39 | 54 | 48 |
| 15 | Argentino Merlo | 41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 44 | 47 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 41 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 33 | 40 | 47 |
| 17 | CS Dock Sud | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 49 | 47 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 41 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 34 | 40 | 45 |
| 19 | Deportivo Liniers | 41 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 34 | 43 | 45 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 41 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 25 | 38 | 43 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 41 | 7 | 21 | 13 | 25 | 36 | 42 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 41 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 67 | 17 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Italiano | Villa Dalmine |
|---|---|---|
| Excursionistas | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Arsenal de Sarandi | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Argentino Merlo | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Talleres Remedios | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportivo Italiano (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Italiano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 25/08 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Villa Dalmine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 10/10 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 27/09 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Italiano win (36%). Probabilities: Sportivo Italiano 36%, draw 31%, Villa Dalmine 33%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Sportivo Italiano 1.09 · Villa Dalmine 1.03), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.