Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 31/10, 18:00

Prediction: Atletico Camioneros vs Excursionistas

Team pages: Atletico Camioneros · Excursionistas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Atletico Camioneros1.31

Excursionistas1.09

1X2

41% 29% 30%

Atletico Camioneros Draw Excursionistas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Camioneros 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLLDWL

Excursionistas 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWLWDW

Head-to-head

Atletico Camioneros 0–1–0 Excursionistas (1 last)

Excursionistas1-1Atletico Camioneros

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Camioneros 1471 · Excursionistas 1565

	Atletico Camioneros	Draw	Excursionistas
Our model	40%	30%	30%
Market	41%	29%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Excursionistas (rating 1471 vs 1565).
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Camioneros	Excursionistas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	2.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5	3.4 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.4	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.10

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 9 moves · last 12:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.33 ★
2	2.25 → 3.00▲	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (9)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:29 +3’	2.88	3.10	2.25
23:06 +3’	2.80▼	3.10	2.30▲
05:13 +3’	2.55▼	3.10	2.55▲
17:45 +14’	2.40▼	3.10	2.70▲
23:41 +8’	2.35▼	3.10	2.80▲
04:44 +2’	2.10▼	3.10	3.20▲
08:30 +2’	2.38▲	3.10	2.80▼
09:58 +18’	2.25▼	3.10	2.90▲
12:45 +9’	2.20▼	3.10	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:44 +50’	2.31	3.23	2.76
23:30 +19’	2.04▼	3.12▼	3.19▲
04:32 +15’	2.12▲	3.19▲	3.12▼
06:25 +1’	2.04▼	3.20▲	3.29▲
08:20 +13’	2.28▲	3.18▼	2.89▼
09:31 +46’	2.23▼	3.27▲	2.92▲
12:45 +9’	2.19▼	3.33▲	2.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Camioneros 0–1–0 Excursionistas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Excursionistas	1-1 HT 0-0	Atletico Camioneros

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	41	24	9	8	68	31	81
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	41	21	13	7	55	27	76
3	Talleres Remedios	41	20	11	10	46	26	71
4	Sportivo Italiano	41	19	12	10	47	33	69
5	Villa Dalmine	41	18	14	9	40	27	68
6	Atletico Camioneros	41	18	13	10	48	34	67
7	Real Pilar	41	18	11	12	44	40	65
8	Deportivo Armenio	41	17	11	13	42	39	62
9	Deportivo Laferrere	41	15	13	13	50	52	58
10	Club Comunicaciones	41	14	15	12	39	35	57
11	San Martin De Burzaco	41	12	15	14	41	46	51
12	Villa San Carlos	41	12	14	15	40	45	50
13	CSD Flandria	41	13	9	19	39	49	48
14	Deportivo Merlo	41	11	15	15	39	54	48
15	Argentino Merlo	41	12	11	18	37	44	47
16	Argentino Quilmes	41	10	17	14	33	40	47
17	CS Dock Sud	41	11	14	16	41	49	47
18	Defensores Unidos	41	10	15	16	34	40	45
19	Deportivo Liniers	41	10	15	16	34	43	45
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	41	9	16	16	25	38	43
21	UAI Urquiza	41	7	21	13	25	36	42
22	CA Ituzaingo	41	1	14	26	28	67	17

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Camioneros	Excursionistas
Arsenal de Sarandi	1-2 L	0-3 L
Argentino Merlo	3-2 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Camioneros

WDWLLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	6	6	L
17/10	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	3-2	1	9	W
10/10	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
03/10	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	10	7	L
26/09	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
19/09	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
13/09	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	6	11	L
06/09	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
29/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
26/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	3	W

Excursionistas

WLWWWWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	3-0	4-0	6	3	W
17/10	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
10/10	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	3-0	4-0	6	3	W
03/10	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
26/09	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
19/09	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	4	8	W
13/09	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
08/09	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	11	2	W
29/08	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	6	8	L
26/08	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Camioneros vs Excursionistas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Camioneros win (41%). Probabilities: Atletico Camioneros 41%, draw 29%, Excursionistas 30%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Camioneros vs Excursionistas?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Atletico Camioneros 1.31 · Excursionistas 1.09), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Camioneros vs Excursionistas?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.