Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 17/10, 20:00
Prediction: Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine
Team pages: Villa San Carlos · Villa Dalmine
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.65Total
Villa San Carlos0.7
Villa Dalmine0.95
1X2
Villa San Carlos
Draw
Villa Dalmine
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
Villa San Carlos
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Villa Dalmine
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Villa San Carlos
0–3–2
Villa Dalmine
(5 last)
- Villa Dalmine0-0Villa San Carlos
- Villa San Carlos2-2Villa Dalmine
- Villa Dalmine3-2Villa San Carlos
- Villa San Carlos0-1Villa Dalmine
- Villa Dalmine0-0Villa San Carlos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Villa San Carlos 1534 · Villa Dalmine 1490
| Villa San Carlos | Draw | Villa Dalmine | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 37% | 39% |
| Market | 27% | 31% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.65 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villa San Carlos (rating 1534 vs 1490).
- H2H favours Villa Dalmine: 2-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Villa San Carlos | Villa Dalmine | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Villa San Carlos 0–3–2 Villa Dalmine
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa Dalmine | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Villa San Carlos |
| 19/07/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Villa Dalmine |
| 02/03/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa Dalmine | 3-2 HT 3-2 | Villa San Carlos |
| 19/10/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Villa Dalmine |
| 01/06/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa Dalmine | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Villa San Carlos |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 63 | 30 | 77 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 53 | 26 | 72 |
| 3 | Sportivo Italiano | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 29 | 68 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 24 | 68 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 39 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 39 | 24 | 65 |
| 6 | Atletico Camioneros | 39 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 44 | 30 | 64 |
| 7 | Deportivo Armenio | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 61 |
| 8 | Real Pilar | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 61 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 39 | 34 | 56 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 51 | 52 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 40 | 44 | 50 |
| 12 | CS Dock Sud | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 40 | 43 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 37 | 43 | 47 |
| 14 | Deportivo Merlo | 39 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 37 | 52 | 45 |
| 15 | Argentino Merlo | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 34 | 41 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 39 | 9 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 39 | 44 |
| 17 | Deportivo Liniers | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 32 | 40 | 44 |
| 18 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 39 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 25 | 37 | 42 |
| 19 | CSD Flandria | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 35 | 48 | 42 |
| 20 | Defensores Unidos | 39 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 33 | 40 | 41 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 39 | 6 | 20 | 13 | 22 | 35 | 38 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 39 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 27 | 64 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Villa San Carlos | Villa Dalmine |
|---|---|---|
| Excursionistas | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Arsenal de Sarandi | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Argentino Merlo | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Talleres Remedios | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Laferrere | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| CA Brown de Adrogue | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Villa Dalmine (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Villa San Carlos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 3-2 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
Villa Dalmine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 27/09 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Villa Dalmine win (40%). Probabilities: Villa San Carlos 26%, draw 34%, Villa Dalmine 40%.
How many goals are expected in Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine?
The model expects 1.65 goals (Villa San Carlos 0.7 · Villa Dalmine 0.95), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.