Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 10/10, 20:00

Prediction: CSD Flandria vs Defensores Unidos

Team pages: CSD Flandria · Defensores Unidos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.97Total

CSD Flandria1.14

Defensores Unidos0.83

1X2

42% 33% 25%

CSD Flandria Draw Defensores Unidos

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CSD Flandria 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDWLWLWLLD

Defensores Unidos 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWDDWLWD

Head-to-head

CSD Flandria 2–2–2 Defensores Unidos (6 last)

Defensores Unidos1-0CSD Flandria
Defensores Unidos0-0CSD Flandria
CSD Flandria0-2Defensores Unidos
CSD Flandria1-0Defensores Unidos
Defensores Unidos0-3CSD Flandria
Defensores Unidos1-1CSD Flandria

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSD Flandria 1480 · Defensores Unidos 1525

	CSD Flandria	Draw	Defensores Unidos
Our model	41%	33%	25%
Market	42%	33%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Defensores Unidos (rating 1480 vs 1525).
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSD Flandria	Defensores Unidos
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.4	2.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.4	5.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X2.75

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 14:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 2.15▲	Bet365 2.15
X	2.90 → 2.75▼	Pinn 2.79
2	3.90 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.62 ★

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:53 +13’	1.95	2.90	3.90
01:48 +7’	1.83▼	3.00▲	4.33▲
09:22 +3’	1.95▲	2.90▼	3.90▼
10:54 +8’	2.00▲	2.88▼	3.75▼
14:24 +10’	2.15▲	2.75▼	3.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:37 +113’	1.88	2.96	4.20
09:13 +12’	1.94▲	2.91▼	4.04▼
13:08 +86’	2.13▲	2.79▼	3.62▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Flandria 2–2–2 Defensores Unidos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Defensores Unidos	1-0 HT 0-0	CSD Flandria
08/10/23 Argentina Nacional B	Defensores Unidos	0-0 HT 0-0	CSD Flandria
28/05/23 Argentina Nacional B	CSD Flandria	0-2 HT 0-0	Defensores Unidos
30/10/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CSD Flandria	1-0 HT 0-0	Defensores Unidos
02/07/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Defensores Unidos	0-3 HT 0-2	CSD Flandria
07/02/20 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Defensores Unidos	1-1 HT 0-1	CSD Flandria

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59	30	74
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50	25	69
3	Talleres Remedios	38	19	10	9	40	23	67
4	Sportivo Italiano	38	18	11	9	45	28	65
5	Villa Dalmine	38	17	13	8	38	23	64
6	Atletico Camioneros	38	17	12	9	43	29	63
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42	38	61
8	Deportivo Armenio	38	17	9	12	42	38	60
9	Club Comunicaciones	38	14	13	11	39	34	55
10	Deportivo Laferrere	38	13	12	13	46	50	51
11	San Martin De Burzaco	38	12	14	12	39	41	50
12	CS Dock Sud	38	11	14	13	40	42	47
13	Villa San Carlos	38	11	14	13	37	39	47
14	Argentino Merlo	38	11	11	16	33	39	44
15	Deportivo Merlo	38	10	14	14	36	51	44
16	Argentino Quilmes	38	9	16	13	30	37	43
17	Deportivo Liniers	38	10	13	15	31	39	43
18	Defensores Unidos	38	9	14	15	33	39	41
19	CA Brown de Adrogue	38	8	15	15	24	37	39
20	CSD Flandria	38	10	9	19	34	48	39
21	UAI Urquiza	38	5	20	13	21	35	35
22	CA Ituzaingo	38	1	12	25	25	62	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSD Flandria	Defensores Unidos
Club Comunicaciones	1-1 D	0-2 L
CS Dock Sud	1-2 L	3-0 W
Deportivo Merlo	1-2 L	0-0 D
Atletico Camioneros	2-1 W	0-0 D
Sportivo Italiano	1-3 L	2-0 W
San Martin De Burzaco	2-0 W	2-0 W
Villa San Carlos	2-3 L	0-1 L
Deportivo Liniers	1-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSD Flandria

DDWLWLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	8	8	D
28/09	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	8	5	L
20/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
13/09	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	3	11	W
05/09	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
30/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	7	4	W
25/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-3	4	6	L
22/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
15/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
08/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	6	5	D

Defensores Unidos

LLWWDDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
26/09	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
18/09	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	9	L
12/09	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	3-0	7	3	W
06/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
29/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
25/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
22/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	6	8	W
16/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	3	10	L
08/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-3	6	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSD Flandria vs Defensores Unidos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Flandria win (42%). Probabilities: CSD Flandria 42%, draw 33%, Defensores Unidos 25%.

How many goals are expected in CSD Flandria vs Defensores Unidos?

The model expects 1.97 goals (CSD Flandria 1.14 · Defensores Unidos 0.83), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CSD Flandria vs Defensores Unidos?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.