Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 10/10, 20:00

Prediction: Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Liniers

Team pages: Villa Dalmine · Deportivo Liniers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.87Total

Villa Dalmine1.22

Deportivo Liniers0.65

1X2

50% 30% 20%

Villa Dalmine Draw Deportivo Liniers

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Villa Dalmine 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDDLLWDL

Deportivo Liniers 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWDDWLLW

Head-to-head

Villa Dalmine 2–3 Deportivo Liniers (5 last)

Deportivo Liniers1-0Villa Dalmine
Villa Dalmine2-1Deportivo Liniers
Deportivo Liniers4-0Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Liniers1-0Villa Dalmine
Villa Dalmine1-0Deportivo Liniers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Villa Dalmine 1476 · Deportivo Liniers 1511

	Villa Dalmine	Draw	Deportivo Liniers
Our model	49%	33%	19%
Market	51%	29%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 1.87 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Liniers: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Villa Dalmine	Deportivo Liniers
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 0.8	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.7	1.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.10

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.82
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.51 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:30 +35’	1.75	3.10	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:35 +55’	1.82	3.00	4.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Villa Dalmine 2–0–3 Deportivo Liniers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	1-0 HT 0-0	Villa Dalmine
08/09/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa Dalmine	2-1 HT 2-0	Deportivo Liniers
20/04/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	4-0 HT 1-0	Villa Dalmine
08/09/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	1-0 HT 0-0	Villa Dalmine
21/04/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa Dalmine	1-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Liniers

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59	30	74
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50	25	69
3	Talleres Remedios	38	19	10	9	40	23	67
4	Sportivo Italiano	38	18	11	9	45	28	65
5	Villa Dalmine	38	17	13	8	38	23	64
6	Atletico Camioneros	38	17	12	9	43	29	63
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42	38	61
8	Deportivo Armenio	38	17	9	12	42	38	60
9	Club Comunicaciones	38	14	13	11	39	34	55
10	Deportivo Laferrere	38	13	12	13	46	50	51
11	San Martin De Burzaco	38	12	14	12	39	41	50
12	CS Dock Sud	38	11	14	13	40	42	47
13	Villa San Carlos	38	11	14	13	37	39	47
14	Argentino Merlo	38	11	11	16	33	39	44
15	Deportivo Merlo	38	10	14	14	36	51	44
16	Argentino Quilmes	38	9	16	13	30	37	43
17	Deportivo Liniers	38	10	13	15	31	39	43
18	Defensores Unidos	38	9	14	15	33	39	41
19	CA Brown de Adrogue	38	8	15	15	24	37	39
20	CSD Flandria	38	10	9	19	34	48	39
21	UAI Urquiza	38	5	20	13	21	35	35
22	CA Ituzaingo	38	1	12	25	25	62	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Villa Dalmine	Deportivo Liniers
Excursionistas	0-3 L	1-0 W
Arsenal de Sarandi	0-1 L	0-2 L
Argentino Merlo	0-0 D	1-2 L
Talleres Remedios	0-0 D	2-0 W
Deportivo Laferrere	2-0 W	2-2 D
CA Brown de Adrogue	1-0 W	1-1 D
Deportivo Armenio	0-1 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Villa Dalmine (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Villa Dalmine

LWWDDLLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	5	7	L
27/09	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
19/09	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	3-0	3-1	4	3	W
13/09	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
05/09	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
30/08	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
25/08	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
22/08	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	1	3	W
15/08	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
08/08	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	4	L

Deportivo Liniers

WLLWDDWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
26/09	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	2	7	L
20/09	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	6	7	L
12/09	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
06/09	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-2	3	2	D
29/08	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/08	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
22/08	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
16/08	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
08/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	3-2	1	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Liniers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Villa Dalmine win (50%). Probabilities: Villa Dalmine 50%, draw 30%, Deportivo Liniers 20%.

How many goals are expected in Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Liniers?

The model expects 1.87 goals (Villa Dalmine 1.22 · Deportivo Liniers 0.65), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Liniers?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.