Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 03/10, 22:00

Prediction: Atletico Camioneros vs Deportivo Laferrere

Team pages: Atletico Camioneros · Deportivo Laferrere

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Atletico Camioneros1.51

Deportivo Laferrere0.97

1X2

48% 29% 23%

Atletico Camioneros Draw Deportivo Laferrere

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Camioneros 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWDDWDWLLL

Deportivo Laferrere 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLWDDDLL

Head-to-head

Atletico Camioneros 1–0 Deportivo Laferrere (1 last)

Deportivo Laferrere0-2Atletico Camioneros

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Camioneros 1505 · Deportivo Laferrere 1465

	Atletico Camioneros	Draw	Deportivo Laferrere
Our model	48%	28%	23%
Market	48%	29%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Camioneros (rating 1505 vs 1465).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Camioneros	Deportivo Laferrere
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	3.5 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.5	3.3 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.10

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
20:18 +4’	1.85	3.10	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Camioneros 1–0–0 Deportivo Laferrere

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Laferrere	0-2 HT 0-1	Atletico Camioneros

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	37	22	8	7	59	29	74
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	37	19	12	6	50	24	69
3	Talleres Remedios	37	19	10	8	40	21	67
4	Villa Dalmine	37	17	13	7	38	21	64
5	Atletico Camioneros	37	17	12	8	42	27	63
6	Sportivo Italiano	37	17	11	9	43	28	62
7	Real Pilar	37	16	10	11	40	38	58
8	Deportivo Armenio	37	16	9	12	39	38	57
9	Club Comunicaciones	37	14	12	11	38	33	54
10	Deportivo Laferrere	37	12	12	13	44	49	48
11	San Martin De Burzaco	37	11	14	12	37	40	47
12	CS Dock Sud	36	10	14	12	38	38	44
13	Villa San Carlos	37	10	14	13	36	39	44
14	Argentino Merlo	37	11	11	15	32	37	44
15	Deportivo Merlo	37	10	13	14	36	51	43
16	Argentino Quilmes	37	9	15	13	29	36	42
17	Defensores Unidos	37	9	13	15	32	38	40
18	Deportivo Liniers	37	9	13	15	30	39	40
19	CSD Flandria	36	10	8	18	32	45	38
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	37	8	14	15	24	37	38
21	UAI Urquiza	37	4	20	13	18	33	32
22	CA Ituzaingo	37	1	12	24	23	59	15

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Camioneros

DWDDWDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
19/09	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
13/09	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	6	11	L
06/09	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
29/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
26/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
23/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-2	2	4	D
15/08	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
08/08	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
01/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	3	11	D

Deportivo Laferrere

WDLLWDDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	9	4	L
19/09	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	9	5	L
12/09	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	14	4	D
06/09	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-2	7	2	D
29/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
25/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	1	5	W
22/08	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	8	3	L
15/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	3-5	6	7	L
09/08	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
01/08	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Camioneros vs Deportivo Laferrere?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Camioneros win (48%). Probabilities: Atletico Camioneros 48%, draw 29%, Deportivo Laferrere 23%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Camioneros vs Deportivo Laferrere?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Atletico Camioneros 1.51 · Deportivo Laferrere 0.97), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Camioneros vs Deportivo Laferrere?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.