Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 29/08, 20:00

Prediction: Defensores Unidos vs Atletico Camioneros

Team pages: Defensores Unidos · Atletico Camioneros

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.03Total

Defensores Unidos0.82

Atletico Camioneros1.21

1X2

24% 31% 44%

Defensores Unidos Draw Atletico Camioneros

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Defensores Unidos 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDDLLLWW

Atletico Camioneros 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDWDDW

Head-to-head

Defensores Unidos 0–1 Atletico Camioneros (1 last)

Atletico Camioneros1-0Defensores Unidos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Defensores Unidos 1468 · Atletico Camioneros 1573

	Defensores Unidos	Draw	Atletico Camioneros
Our model	24%	32%	44%
Market	25%	31%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Camioneros (rating 1468 vs 1573).
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Defensores Unidos	Atletico Camioneros
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	1.6 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	1.1 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.60

X2.90

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.05

2 (-0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:04 +10’	3.60	2.90	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores Unidos 0–0–1 Atletico Camioneros

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Atletico Camioneros	1-0 HT 0-0	Defensores Unidos

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	32	18	8	6	49	24	62
2	Atletico Camioneros	32	16	11	5	39	20	59
3	Villa Dalmine	32	16	11	5	35	16	59
4	Arsenal de Sarandi	32	15	12	5	41	22	57
5	Talleres Remedios	32	16	9	7	34	17	57
6	Sportivo Italiano	32	14	10	8	36	25	52
7	Real Pilar	32	14	9	9	36	31	51
8	Deportivo Laferrere	32	12	9	11	38	41	45
9	Deportivo Armenio	31	12	8	11	33	34	44
10	Club Comunicaciones	32	11	10	11	32	31	43
11	Argentino Merlo	32	10	10	12	30	32	40
12	San Martin De Burzaco	32	9	13	10	31	34	40
13	Deportivo Merlo	31	9	12	10	33	45	39
14	Villa San Carlos	32	9	11	12	34	37	38
15	CS Dock Sud	31	8	13	10	34	33	37
16	Argentino Quilmes	32	8	13	11	28	33	37
17	Defensores Unidos	32	7	11	14	28	36	32
18	Deportivo Liniers	31	7	11	13	21	31	32
19	CSD Flandria	32	8	8	16	26	39	32
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	32	7	11	14	20	34	32
21	UAI Urquiza	32	3	19	10	15	28	28
22	CA Ituzaingo	32	1	11	20	19	49	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Defensores Unidos	Atletico Camioneros
Sportivo Italiano	2-0 W	1-1 D
San Martin De Burzaco	2-0 W	2-0 W
Villa San Carlos	0-1 L	2-0 W
Deportivo Liniers	2-3 L	1-0 W
Real Pilar	1-2 L	1-2 L
UAI Urquiza	1-1 D	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Camioneros (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Defensores Unidos

DLLDDLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
22/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	6	8	W
16/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	3	10	L
08/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-3	6	7	L
01/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
25/07	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
18/07	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
14/07	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
10/07	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-2	1-3	1	5	L
05/07	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	6	6	D

Atletico Camioneros

WLWWWDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
23/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-2	2	4	D
15/08	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
08/08	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
01/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	3	11	D
25/07	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
18/07	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
14/07	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
10/07	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	6	2	L
04/07	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	4-0	0	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Defensores Unidos vs Atletico Camioneros?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Camioneros win (44%). Probabilities: Defensores Unidos 24%, draw 31%, Atletico Camioneros 44%.

How many goals are expected in Defensores Unidos vs Atletico Camioneros?

The model expects 2.03 goals (Defensores Unidos 0.82 · Atletico Camioneros 1.21), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Defensores Unidos vs Atletico Camioneros?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.