Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 29/08, 20:00

Prediction: Talleres Remedios vs UAI Urquiza

Team pages: Talleres Remedios · UAI Urquiza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.97Total

Talleres Remedios1.41

UAI Urquiza0.55

1X2

58% 27% 15%

Talleres Remedios Draw UAI Urquiza

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Talleres Remedios 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDLWLD

UAI Urquiza 0-6-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLDDDLDL

Head-to-head

Talleres Remedios 5–1 UAI Urquiza (6 last)

UAI Urquiza0-2Talleres Remedios
UAI Urquiza0-1Talleres Remedios
Talleres Remedios1-0UAI Urquiza
UAI Urquiza1-0Talleres Remedios
Talleres Remedios3-1UAI Urquiza
Talleres Remedios2-0UAI Urquiza

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Talleres Remedios 1525 · UAI Urquiza 1429

	Talleres Remedios	Draw	UAI Urquiza
Our model	57%	29%	13%
Market	59%	25%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Talleres Remedios (rating 1525 vs 1429).
H2H favours Talleres Remedios: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Talleres Remedios	UAI Urquiza
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.2	0.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.8	3.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.4	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.50

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:18 +4’	1.50	3.50	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Talleres Remedios 5–0–1 UAI Urquiza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	UAI Urquiza	0-2 HT 0-2	Talleres Remedios
03/09/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	UAI Urquiza	0-1 HT 0-0	Talleres Remedios
30/04/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Talleres Remedios	1-0 HT 0-0	UAI Urquiza
20/08/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	UAI Urquiza	1-0 HT 0-0	Talleres Remedios
23/04/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Talleres Remedios	3-1 HT 2-0	UAI Urquiza
12/12/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Talleres Remedios	2-0 HT 2-0	UAI Urquiza

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	32	18	8	6	49	24	62
2	Atletico Camioneros	32	16	11	5	39	20	59
3	Villa Dalmine	32	16	11	5	35	16	59
4	Arsenal de Sarandi	32	15	12	5	41	22	57
5	Talleres Remedios	32	16	9	7	34	17	57
6	Sportivo Italiano	32	14	10	8	36	25	52
7	Real Pilar	32	14	9	9	36	31	51
8	Deportivo Laferrere	32	12	9	11	38	41	45
9	Deportivo Armenio	32	12	8	12	34	37	44
10	Club Comunicaciones	32	11	10	11	32	31	43
11	CS Dock Sud	32	9	13	10	36	34	40
12	Argentino Merlo	32	10	10	12	30	32	40
13	San Martin De Burzaco	32	9	13	10	31	34	40
14	Deportivo Merlo	32	9	12	11	34	47	39
15	Villa San Carlos	32	9	11	12	34	37	38
16	Argentino Quilmes	32	8	13	11	28	33	37
17	Deportivo Liniers	32	8	11	13	24	32	35
18	Defensores Unidos	32	7	11	14	28	36	32
19	CSD Flandria	32	8	8	16	26	39	32
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	32	7	11	14	20	34	32
21	UAI Urquiza	32	3	19	10	15	28	28
22	CA Ituzaingo	32	1	11	20	19	49	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Talleres Remedios	UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere	2-0 W	0-2 L
CA Brown de Adrogue	1-0 W	1-1 D
Deportivo Armenio	1-2 L	0-1 L
CSD Flandria	1-1 D	1-1 D
Argentino Quilmes	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Talleres Remedios (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Talleres Remedios

WDLWWDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
22/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
15/08	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
08/08	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
01/08	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	7	D
26/07	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
18/07	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	9	W
14/07	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
10/07	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
05/07	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	1	7	W

UAI Urquiza

LDDLDDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	11	5	L
22/08	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
16/08	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
08/08	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
01/08	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
25/07	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
18/07	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
14/07	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
10/07	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
04/07	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-4	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Talleres Remedios vs UAI Urquiza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Talleres Remedios win (58%). Probabilities: Talleres Remedios 58%, draw 27%, UAI Urquiza 15%.

How many goals are expected in Talleres Remedios vs UAI Urquiza?

The model expects 1.97 goals (Talleres Remedios 1.41 · UAI Urquiza 0.55), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Talleres Remedios vs UAI Urquiza?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.