Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 16/08, 20:00
Prediction: UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo Armenio
Team pages: UAI Urquiza · Deportivo Armenio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.71Total
UAI Urquiza0.67
Deportivo Armenio1.04
1X2
UAI Urquiza
Draw
Deportivo Armenio
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
UAI Urquiza
0-8-2 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Armenio
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UAI Urquiza
1–2–3
Deportivo Armenio
(6 last)
- Deportivo Armenio2-1UAI Urquiza
- UAI Urquiza0-1Deportivo Armenio
- Deportivo Armenio0-0UAI Urquiza
- Deportivo Armenio4-1UAI Urquiza
- UAI Urquiza1-1Deportivo Armenio
- UAI Urquiza1-0Deportivo Armenio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UAI Urquiza 1447 · Deportivo Armenio 1550
| UAI Urquiza | Draw | Deportivo Armenio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 36% | 43% |
| Market | 24% | 31% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.71 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Armenio (rating 1447 vs 1550).
- H2H favours Deportivo Armenio: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UAI Urquiza | Deportivo Armenio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 2.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UAI Urquiza 1–2–3 Deportivo Armenio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Armenio | 2-1 HT 1-0 | UAI Urquiza |
| 19/10/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | UAI Urquiza | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Armenio |
| 31/05/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Armenio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UAI Urquiza |
| 12/10/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Armenio | 4-1 HT 3-1 | UAI Urquiza |
| 25/05/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | UAI Urquiza | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Armenio |
| 17/06/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | UAI Urquiza | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Armenio |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Camioneros | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 18 | 54 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 53 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 15 | 53 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 49 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 44 |
| 8 | Deportivo Laferrere | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 33 | 41 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 39 |
| 11 | Argentino Merlo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 45 | 37 |
| 13 | CS Dock Sud | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 36 |
| 14 | San Martin De Burzaco | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 36 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 34 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 32 |
| 17 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 30 | 31 |
| 18 | Villa San Carlos | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 35 | 29 |
| 19 | CSD Flandria | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 36 | 28 |
| 20 | UAI Urquiza | 29 | 3 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 27 |
| 21 | Defensores Unidos | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 35 | 26 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 18 | 46 | 12 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UAI Urquiza | Deportivo Armenio |
|---|---|---|
| CSD Flandria | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Argentino Quilmes | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Armenio (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UAI Urquiza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/07 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 10/07 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
Deportivo Armenio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 14/07 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 10/07 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo Armenio?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Armenio win (44%). Probabilities: UAI Urquiza 23%, draw 33%, Deportivo Armenio 44%.
How many goals are expected in UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo Armenio?
The model expects 1.71 goals (UAI Urquiza 0.67 · Deportivo Armenio 1.04), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo Armenio?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.