Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 16/08, 20:00

Prediction: Deportivo Liniers vs Argentino Quilmes

Team pages: Deportivo Liniers · Argentino Quilmes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

Deportivo Liniers1.19

Argentino Quilmes0.95

1X2

40% 32% 28%

Deportivo Liniers Draw Argentino Quilmes

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Liniers 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDLLDDDW

Argentino Quilmes 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLLWDDDD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Liniers 2–1–2 Argentino Quilmes (5 last)

Argentino Quilmes1-2Deportivo Liniers
Deportivo Liniers3-2Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmes1-1Deportivo Liniers
Argentino Quilmes2-0Deportivo Liniers
Deportivo Liniers0-1Argentino Quilmes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Liniers 1496 · Argentino Quilmes 1483

	Deportivo Liniers	Draw	Argentino Quilmes
Our model	40%	32%	28%
Market	40%	33%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Liniers	Argentino Quilmes
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1	0.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.2	1.1 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	5.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X2.75

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.93

Under 21.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
08:25 +12’	2.25	2.75	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Liniers 2–1–2 Argentino Quilmes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Argentino Quilmes	1-2 HT 1-0	Deportivo Liniers
14/09/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	3-2 HT 2-0	Argentino Quilmes
26/04/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Argentino Quilmes	1-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Liniers
18/08/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Argentino Quilmes	2-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Liniers
02/04/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	0-1 HT 0-1	Argentino Quilmes

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Camioneros	29	15	9	5	35	18	54
2	Excursionistas	29	15	8	6	40	20	53
3	Arsenal de Sarandi	29	14	11	4	39	21	53
4	Talleres Remedios	29	15	8	6	32	15	53
5	Villa Dalmine	29	14	10	5	32	16	52
6	Sportivo Italiano	29	13	10	6	32	22	49
7	Real Pilar	29	12	8	9	33	31	44
8	Deportivo Laferrere	29	11	9	9	33	34	42
9	Deportivo Armenio	29	11	8	10	32	33	41
10	Club Comunicaciones	29	10	9	10	31	29	39
11	Argentino Merlo	29	10	8	11	29	29	38
12	Deportivo Merlo	29	9	10	10	33	45	37
13	CS Dock Sud	29	8	12	9	32	27	36
14	San Martin De Burzaco	29	8	12	9	28	30	36
15	Argentino Quilmes	29	7	13	9	25	28	34
16	Deportivo Liniers	29	7	11	11	21	29	32
17	CA Brown de Adrogue	29	7	10	12	19	30	31
18	Villa San Carlos	29	6	11	12	28	35	29
19	CSD Flandria	29	7	7	15	23	36	28
20	UAI Urquiza	29	3	18	8	14	24	27
21	Defensores Unidos	29	5	11	13	24	35	26
22	CA Ituzaingo	29	1	9	19	18	46	12

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Liniers

LDDDLLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	3-2	1	7	W
01/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
25/07	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
18/07	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	5	10	D
14/07	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
10/07	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
05/07	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
28/06	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
20/06	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	9	3	D
14/06	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	5	1	L

Argentino Quilmes

DWDLLWDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
01/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
25/07	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
18/07	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
14/07	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
10/07	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	2	10	L
05/07	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	3	7	L
28/06	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	0	4	D
20/06	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	4-2	1	4	W
14/06	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Liniers vs Argentino Quilmes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Liniers win (40%). Probabilities: Deportivo Liniers 40%, draw 32%, Argentino Quilmes 28%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Liniers vs Argentino Quilmes?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Deportivo Liniers 1.19 · Argentino Quilmes 0.95), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Liniers vs Argentino Quilmes?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.