Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 15/08, 18:00
Prediction: Atletico Camioneros vs Deportivo Merlo
Team pages: Atletico Camioneros · Deportivo Merlo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Atletico Camioneros1.7
Deportivo Merlo1.09
1X2
Atletico Camioneros
Draw
Deportivo Merlo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Camioneros
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Merlo
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Camioneros
0–1–0
Deportivo Merlo
(1 last)
- Deportivo Merlo1-1Atletico Camioneros
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Camioneros 1560 · Deportivo Merlo 1446
| Atletico Camioneros | Draw | Deportivo Merlo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 30% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Camioneros (rating 1560 vs 1446).
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Camioneros | Deportivo Merlo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.9 | 1.1 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Camioneros 0–1–0 Deportivo Merlo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Merlo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Camioneros |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Camioneros | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 18 | 54 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 53 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 15 | 53 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 49 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 44 |
| 8 | Deportivo Laferrere | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 33 | 41 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 39 |
| 11 | Argentino Merlo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 45 | 37 |
| 13 | CS Dock Sud | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 36 |
| 14 | San Martin De Burzaco | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 36 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 34 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 32 |
| 17 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 30 | 31 |
| 18 | Villa San Carlos | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 35 | 29 |
| 19 | CSD Flandria | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 36 | 28 |
| 20 | UAI Urquiza | 29 | 3 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 27 |
| 21 | Defensores Unidos | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 35 | 26 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 18 | 46 | 12 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Camioneros | Deportivo Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Italiano | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| San Martin De Burzaco | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Villa San Carlos | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Liniers | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Real Pilar | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| UAI Urquiza | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Villa Dalmine | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Excursionistas | 1-1 D | 0-5 L |
| Arsenal de Sarandi | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Camioneros (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Camioneros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | D |
| 25/07 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/07 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/07 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | L |
Deportivo Merlo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 15/07 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 10/07 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 15/06 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Camioneros vs Deportivo Merlo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Camioneros win (50%). Probabilities: Atletico Camioneros 50%, draw 28%, Deportivo Merlo 22%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Camioneros vs Deportivo Merlo?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Atletico Camioneros 1.7 · Deportivo Merlo 1.09), with a 61% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Camioneros vs Deportivo Merlo?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.