Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 08/08, 20:00

Prediction: CSD Flandria vs UAI Urquiza

Team pages: CSD Flandria · UAI Urquiza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.74Total

CSD Flandria1.1

UAI Urquiza0.65

1X2

46% 33% 21%

CSD Flandria Draw UAI Urquiza

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

CSD Flandria 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDWLDL

UAI Urquiza 1-7-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDLDDLDD

Head-to-head

CSD Flandria 2–2–2 UAI Urquiza (6 last)

UAI Urquiza2-0CSD Flandria
CSD Flandria1-0UAI Urquiza
UAI Urquiza0-2CSD Flandria
CSD Flandria1-2UAI Urquiza
UAI Urquiza0-0CSD Flandria
CSD Flandria1-1UAI Urquiza

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSD Flandria 1445 · UAI Urquiza 1486

	CSD Flandria	Draw	UAI Urquiza
Our model	45%	35%	20%
Market	47%	31%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 1.74 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UAI Urquiza (rating 1445 vs 1486).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSD Flandria	UAI Urquiza
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	0.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.3	2.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X2.88

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.88

Under 1.751.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:43 +16’	1.91	2.88	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Flandria 2–2–2 UAI Urquiza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	UAI Urquiza	2-0 HT 1-0	CSD Flandria
05/07/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CSD Flandria	1-0 HT 0-0	UAI Urquiza
14/02/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	UAI Urquiza	0-2 HT 0-1	CSD Flandria
06/07/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CSD Flandria	1-2 HT 1-1	UAI Urquiza
16/02/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	UAI Urquiza	0-0 HT 0-0	CSD Flandria
31/07/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CSD Flandria	1-1 HT 0-1	UAI Urquiza

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	28	15	8	5	40	19	53
2	Talleres Remedios	28	15	8	5	31	13	53
3	Arsenal de Sarandi	28	14	10	4	38	20	52
4	Villa Dalmine	28	14	10	4	32	15	52
5	Atletico Camioneros	28	14	9	5	34	18	51
6	Sportivo Italiano	28	12	10	6	28	22	46
7	Real Pilar	28	12	7	9	33	31	43
8	Deportivo Laferrere	28	11	8	9	32	33	41
9	Club Comunicaciones	28	10	9	9	31	28	39
10	Deportivo Armenio	28	10	8	10	31	33	38
11	Deportivo Merlo	28	9	10	9	33	41	37
12	San Martin De Burzaco	28	8	12	8	27	26	36
13	Argentino Merlo	28	9	8	11	27	28	35
14	CS Dock Sud	28	7	12	9	28	26	33
15	Argentino Quilmes	28	7	12	9	25	28	33
16	Deportivo Liniers	28	6	11	11	18	27	29
17	CA Brown de Adrogue	28	6	10	12	18	30	28
18	CSD Flandria	28	7	6	15	22	35	27
19	Villa San Carlos	28	5	11	12	27	35	26
20	Defensores Unidos	28	5	11	12	22	32	26
21	UAI Urquiza	28	3	17	8	13	23	26
22	CA Ituzaingo	28	1	9	18	18	45	12

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSD Flandria

LWLLLDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
25/07	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
18/07	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
14/07	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
10/07	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
04/07	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	12	4	L
27/06	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	12	3	L
20/06	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
13/06	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-2	2	8	W
06/06	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	8	3	L

UAI Urquiza

WDDDLDDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
25/07	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
18/07	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
14/07	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
10/07	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
04/07	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-4	1	3	L
28/06	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
20/06	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
13/06	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
08/06	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSD Flandria vs UAI Urquiza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Flandria win (46%). Probabilities: CSD Flandria 46%, draw 33%, UAI Urquiza 21%.

How many goals are expected in CSD Flandria vs UAI Urquiza?

The model expects 1.74 goals (CSD Flandria 1.1 · UAI Urquiza 0.65), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CSD Flandria vs UAI Urquiza?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.