Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 25/07, 22:00

Prediction: Atletico Camioneros vs San Martin De Burzaco

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

Atletico Camioneros1.23

San Martin De Burzaco0.86

1X2

44% 32% 25%

Atletico Camioneros Draw San Martin De Burzaco

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Camioneros 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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San Martin De Burzaco 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Atletico Camioneros 0–1–0 San Martin De Burzaco (1 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Camioneros 1521 · San Martin De Burzaco 1494

	Atletico Camioneros	Draw	San Martin De Burzaco
Our model	43%	32%	25%
Market	44%	31%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Camioneros	San Martin De Burzaco
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.5	2.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	5.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X2.88

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:19 +1’	2.05	2.88	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Camioneros 0–1–0 San Martin De Burzaco

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	San Martin De Burzaco	0-0 HT 0-0	Atletico Camioneros

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Arsenal de Sarandi	26	14	8	4	37	19	50
2	Excursionistas	26	14	7	5	37	17	49
3	Talleres Remedios	26	14	7	5	29	13	49
4	Villa Dalmine	26	13	9	4	30	14	48
5	Atletico Camioneros	26	13	8	5	31	17	47
6	Sportivo Italiano	26	12	8	6	27	21	44
7	Club Comunicaciones	26	10	8	8	30	26	38
8	Deportivo Laferrere	26	10	8	8	29	30	38
9	Real Pilar	26	10	7	9	29	29	37
10	Deportivo Armenio	26	10	7	9	30	31	37
11	Deportivo Merlo	26	9	9	8	31	38	36
12	San Martin De Burzaco	26	8	11	7	26	23	35
13	Argentino Merlo	26	9	8	9	26	24	35
14	CS Dock Sud	26	7	10	9	26	24	31
15	Argentino Quilmes	26	7	10	9	25	28	31
16	Deportivo Liniers	26	6	9	11	17	26	27
17	CSD Flandria	26	7	5	14	20	32	26
18	Defensores Unidos	26	5	10	11	20	29	25
19	UAI Urquiza	26	3	15	8	12	22	24
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	26	5	9	12	16	29	24
21	Villa San Carlos	26	4	10	12	24	33	22
22	CA Ituzaingo	26	1	7	18	18	45	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Camioneros	San Martin De Burzaco
Villa San Carlos	2-0 W	0-0 D
Deportivo Liniers	1-0 W	1-1 D
Real Pilar	1-2 L	0-0 D
UAI Urquiza	4-0 W	0-0 D
Villa Dalmine	1-0 W	0-2 L
Excursionistas	1-1 D	0-2 L
Arsenal de Sarandi	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Camioneros (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Camioneros

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
14/07	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
10/07	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	6	2	L
04/07	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	4-0	0	3	W
27/06	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
20/06	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
13/06	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	5	10	L
06/06	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
31/05	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-4	8	7	L
26/05	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	3	7	W

San Martin De Burzaco

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	10	7	L
15/07	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
10/07	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
05/07	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
27/06	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
20/06	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
13/06	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
06/06	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
01/06	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
27/05	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-1	5	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Camioneros vs San Martin De Burzaco?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Camioneros win (44%). Probabilities: Atletico Camioneros 44%, draw 32%, San Martin De Burzaco 25%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Camioneros vs San Martin De Burzaco?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Atletico Camioneros 1.23 · San Martin De Burzaco 0.86), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Camioneros vs San Martin De Burzaco?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.