Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 15/07, 00:00
Prediction: CA Ituzaingo vs San Martin De Burzaco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
CA Ituzaingo1.01
San Martin De Burzaco1.03
1X2
CA Ituzaingo
Draw
San Martin De Burzaco
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CA Ituzaingo
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
San Martin De Burzaco
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Ituzaingo
1–2–3
San Martin De Burzaco
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Ituzaingo 1426 · San Martin De Burzaco 1505
| CA Ituzaingo | Draw | San Martin De Burzaco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 33% | 34% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Martin De Burzaco (rating 1426 vs 1505).
- H2H favours San Martin De Burzaco: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Ituzaingo | San Martin De Burzaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.8 | 5.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Ituzaingo 1–2–3 San Martin De Burzaco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | San Martin De Burzaco | 3-0 HT 2-0 | CA Ituzaingo |
| 03/10/21 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Ituzaingo | 3-1 HT 2-1 | San Martin De Burzaco |
| 15/05/21 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | San Martin De Burzaco | 3-0 HT 0-0 | CA Ituzaingo |
| 13/12/20 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Ituzaingo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | San Martin De Burzaco |
| 31/01/20 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Ituzaingo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | San Martin De Burzaco |
| 02/08/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | San Martin De Burzaco | 2-0 HT 2-0 | CA Ituzaingo |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 18 | 47 |
| 2 | Villa Dalmine | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Excursionistas | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 41 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 38 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | Argentino Merlo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 21 | 34 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportivo Armenio | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 33 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Laferrere | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 30 | 32 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 32 |
| 14 | CS Dock Sud | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 27 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 28 | 27 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 26 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 24 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 24 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 23 |
| 20 | CSD Flandria | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 23 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 22 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 24 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 17 | 41 | 10 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Ituzaingo | San Martin De Burzaco |
|---|---|---|
| Villa San Carlos | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Liniers | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Real Pilar | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| UAI Urquiza | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 4 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Ituzaingo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 05/06 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 12 | W |
| 01/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 27/05 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
San Martin De Burzaco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/06 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 16/05 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Ituzaingo vs San Martin De Burzaco?
According to our model, the most likely result is an San Martin De Burzaco win (34%). Probabilities: CA Ituzaingo 33%, draw 33%, San Martin De Burzaco 34%.
How many goals are expected in CA Ituzaingo vs San Martin De Burzaco?
The model expects 2.05 goals (CA Ituzaingo 1.01 · San Martin De Burzaco 1.03), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Ituzaingo vs San Martin De Burzaco?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.