Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 14/07, 20:00
Prediction: CSD Flandria vs Argentino Merlo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.99Total
CSD Flandria0.98
Argentino Merlo1.01
1X2
CSD Flandria
Draw
Argentino Merlo
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
CSD Flandria
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Argentino Merlo
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSD Flandria
2–3
Argentino Merlo
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSD Flandria 1441 · Argentino Merlo 1534
| CSD Flandria | Draw | Argentino Merlo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 34% | 34% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.99 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Argentino Merlo (rating 1441 vs 1534).
- H2H favours Argentino Merlo: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSD Flandria | Argentino Merlo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.9 | 1.4 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 6.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Flandria 2–0–3 Argentino Merlo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Merlo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Flandria |
| 11/10/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CSD Flandria | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Argentino Merlo |
| 25/05/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Merlo | 3-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Flandria |
| 13/10/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Merlo | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CSD Flandria |
| 25/05/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CSD Flandria | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Argentino Merlo |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 18 | 47 |
| 2 | Villa Dalmine | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Excursionistas | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 41 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 38 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | Argentino Merlo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 21 | 34 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportivo Armenio | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 33 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Laferrere | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 30 | 32 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 32 |
| 14 | CS Dock Sud | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 27 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 28 | 27 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 26 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 24 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 24 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 23 |
| 20 | CSD Flandria | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 23 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 22 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 24 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 17 | 41 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSD Flandria | Argentino Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Armenio | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Argentino Quilmes | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Defensores Unidos | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Club Comunicaciones | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| CS Dock Sud | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Argentino Merlo (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSD Flandria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/05 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Argentino Merlo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 05/07 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 21/06 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 26/05 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSD Flandria vs Argentino Merlo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Argentino Merlo win (34%). Probabilities: CSD Flandria 32%, draw 33%, Argentino Merlo 34%.
How many goals are expected in CSD Flandria vs Argentino Merlo?
The model expects 1.99 goals (CSD Flandria 0.98 · Argentino Merlo 1.01), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CSD Flandria vs Argentino Merlo?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.