Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 15/07, 00:00
Prediction: CA Brown de Adrogue vs Deportivo Laferrere
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
CA Brown de Adrogue1.02
Deportivo Laferrere0.96
1X2
CA Brown de Adrogue
Draw
Deportivo Laferrere
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA Brown de Adrogue
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Laferrere
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Brown de Adrogue
1–2–0
Deportivo Laferrere
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Brown de Adrogue 1477 · Deportivo Laferrere 1519
| CA Brown de Adrogue | Draw | Deportivo Laferrere | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 34% | 32% |
| Market | 35% | 33% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.98 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Laferrere (rating 1477 vs 1519).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Brown de Adrogue | Deportivo Laferrere | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.8 | 2.4 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Brown de Adrogue 1–2–0 Deportivo Laferrere
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Laferrere | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CA Brown de Adrogue |
| 04/10/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Brown de Adrogue | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Laferrere |
| 20/05/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Laferrere | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Brown de Adrogue |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 18 | 47 |
| 2 | Villa Dalmine | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Excursionistas | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 41 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 38 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | Argentino Merlo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 21 | 34 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportivo Armenio | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 33 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Laferrere | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 30 | 32 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 32 |
| 14 | CS Dock Sud | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 27 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 28 | 27 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 26 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 24 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 24 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 23 |
| 20 | CSD Flandria | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 23 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 22 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 24 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 17 | 41 | 10 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Brown de Adrogue | Deportivo Laferrere |
|---|---|---|
| CA Ituzaingo | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Deportivo Armenio | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| CSD Flandria | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Argentino Quilmes | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Defensores Unidos | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Club Comunicaciones | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| CS Dock Sud | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo Merlo | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Atletico Camioneros | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 4 L | 4 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Laferrere (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Brown de Adrogue
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 27/05 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
Deportivo Laferrere
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/06 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/05 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Brown de Adrogue vs Deportivo Laferrere?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Brown de Adrogue win (35%). Probabilities: CA Brown de Adrogue 35%, draw 33%, Deportivo Laferrere 32%.
How many goals are expected in CA Brown de Adrogue vs Deportivo Laferrere?
The model expects 1.98 goals (CA Brown de Adrogue 1.02 · Deportivo Laferrere 0.96), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Brown de Adrogue vs Deportivo Laferrere?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.