Prediction: Villa Dalmine vs CS Dock Sud
Expected goals: 1.81 (Villa Dalmine 1.26 · CS Dock Sud 0.56). The model gives 53% home, 30% draw, 16% away. Under 2 goals (57%) and not both to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-0.
On recent form, Villa Dalmine is 4-3-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and CS Dock Sud 3-4-3 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Villa Dalmine and 1 for CS Dock Sud, with 2 draws.
| Villa Dalmine | Draw | CS Dock Sud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 32% | 15% |
| Market | 54% | 29% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villa Dalmine (rating 1537 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Villa Dalmine: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Villa Dalmine | CS Dock Sud | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Villa Dalmine 2–2–1 CS Dock Sud
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CS Dock Sud | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Villa Dalmine |
| 26/07/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa Dalmine | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CS Dock Sud |
| 09/03/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CS Dock Sud | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Villa Dalmine |
| 30/06/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa Dalmine | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CS Dock Sud |
| 11/02/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CS Dock Sud | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Villa Dalmine |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Talleres Remedios | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 10 | 45 |
| 3 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 43 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 35 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin De Burzaco | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 31 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 25 | 31 |
| 11 | Argentino Merlo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportivo Laferrere | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 31 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 31 |
| 14 | CS Dock Sud | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 25 | 27 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 26 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 23 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 23 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 22 |
| 20 | CSD Flandria | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 22 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 21 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 41 | 9 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Villa Dalmine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
CS Dock Sud
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 21/06 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 26/05 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Villa Dalmine vs CS Dock Sud?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Villa Dalmine win (53%). Probabilities: Villa Dalmine 53%, draw 30%, CS Dock Sud 16%.
How many goals are expected in Villa Dalmine vs CS Dock Sud?
The model expects 1.81 goals (Villa Dalmine 1.26 · CS Dock Sud 0.56), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Villa Dalmine vs CS Dock Sud?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.