Prediction: Villa San Carlos vs San Martin De Burzaco
Expected goals: 2.07 (Villa San Carlos 1.08 · San Martin De Burzaco 0.99). The model gives 36% home, 33% draw, 31% away. Over 1.75 goals (53%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Villa San Carlos with 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; San Martin De Burzaco has piled up 4-3-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Villa San Carlos won 1 and San Martin De Burzaco 1, with 4 draws.
| Villa San Carlos | Draw | San Martin De Burzaco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 33% | 31% |
| Market | 36% | 33% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Villa San Carlos | San Martin De Burzaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.3 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.4 | 5.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Villa San Carlos 1–4–1 San Martin De Burzaco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | San Martin De Burzaco | 3-3 HT 0-0 | Villa San Carlos |
| 01/11/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | San Martin De Burzaco | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Villa San Carlos |
| 07/06/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 2-1 HT 2-1 | San Martin De Burzaco |
| 06/07/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Martin De Burzaco |
| 17/02/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | San Martin De Burzaco | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Villa San Carlos |
| 18/04/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | San Martin De Burzaco | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Villa San Carlos |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Talleres Remedios | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 10 | 45 |
| 3 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 43 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 35 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin De Burzaco | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 31 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 25 | 31 |
| 11 | Argentino Merlo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportivo Laferrere | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 31 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 31 |
| 14 | CS Dock Sud | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 25 | 27 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 26 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 23 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 23 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 22 |
| 20 | CSD Flandria | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 22 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 21 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 41 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Villa San Carlos | San Martin De Burzaco |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Liniers | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Real Pilar | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| UAI Urquiza | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Villa Dalmine | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Excursionistas | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Arsenal de Sarandi | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Argentino Merlo | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Talleres Remedios | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 6 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Villa San Carlos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 26/05 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 22/05 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 16/05 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
San Martin De Burzaco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/06 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 16/05 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Villa San Carlos vs San Martin De Burzaco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Villa San Carlos win (36%). Probabilities: Villa San Carlos 36%, draw 33%, San Martin De Burzaco 31%.
How many goals are expected in Villa San Carlos vs San Martin De Burzaco?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Villa San Carlos 1.08 · San Martin De Burzaco 0.99), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Villa San Carlos vs San Martin De Burzaco?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.