Prediction: Mjällby AIF vs AIK
Expected goals: 3.22 (Mjällby AIF 1.76 · AIK 1.45). The model gives 43% home, 26% draw, 30% away. Over 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Mjällby AIF with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; AIK has piled up 4-2-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Mjällby AIF won 1 and AIK 4, with 1 draw.
| Mjällby AIF | Draw | AIK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mjällby AIF (rating 1541 vs 1487).
- H2H favours AIK: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mjällby AIF | AIK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.2 | 2.7 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mjällby AIF 1–1–4 AIK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Mjällby AIF | 2-0 HT 0-0 | AIK |
| 11/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | AIK | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Mjällby AIF |
| 11/08/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | AIK | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mjällby AIF |
| 13/04/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Mjällby AIF | 1-1 HT 0-0 | AIK |
| 09/03/24 Sweden Cup | Mjällby AIF | 1-3 HT 1-2 | AIK |
| 07/10/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | AIK | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mjällby AIF |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | BK Hacken | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 14 | 20 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Hammarby | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 13 | 17 |
| 5 | Mjällby AIF | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 16 |
| 7 | GAIS | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | Vasteras SK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 23 | 15 |
| 10 | Djurgarden | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | AIK | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 12 | Kalmar FF | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 10 |
| 14 | IFK Goteborg | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 10 |
| 15 | Halmstad | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 6 |
| 16 | Orgryte IS | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mjällby AIF | AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Sirius | 4-4 D | 0-3 L |
| IFK Goteborg | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Elfsborg | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Hammarby | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Malmo FF | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Mjällby AIF (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mjällby AIF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | FC Copenhagen Europe Friendlies |
2-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Halmstad Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 25/05 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 21/05 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Hammarby Sweden Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 27/04 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
AIK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | IFK Vasteras FK Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Vasteras SK Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | Kalmar FF Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 27/04 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 16 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mjällby AIF vs AIK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mjällby AIF win (43%). Probabilities: Mjällby AIF 43%, draw 26%, AIK 30%.
How many goals are expected in Mjällby AIF vs AIK?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Mjällby AIF 1.76 · AIK 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Mjällby AIF vs AIK?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.